Vanguard California Long Term Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VCITX Fund | USD 11.34 0.03 0.26% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Vanguard California Long Term is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vanguard California buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VCITX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vanguard California's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vanguard California's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 12.39 | Hype Value 11.34 | Market Value 11.34 | Naive Value 11.4 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vanguard California Long Term given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vanguard California. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vanguard California Long Term, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vanguard |
Execute Vanguard California Buy or Sell Advice
The Vanguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vanguard California Long Term. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vanguard California Long Term or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vanguard California's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details |
Vanguard California Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vanguard California generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Vanguard California keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments. |
Vanguard California Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vanguard California's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vanguard California's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vanguard California daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vanguard California Long Term price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vanguard California returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vanguard California.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -0.35 | Potential Upside | 0.26 | Standard Deviation | 0.22 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vanguard California historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vanguard California Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard California or Vanguard sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard California's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.0024 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Vanguard California Volatility Alert
Vanguard California Long Term exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.06 and kurtosis of 2.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanguard California's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanguard California's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vanguard California Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vanguard California's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vanguard California's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vanguard California and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vanguard California or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard California's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard California by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vanguard California to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vanguard California | Peer Average |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | 0.29 % |
| Year To Date Return | 0.04 % | 0.39 % |
| One Year Return | 2.17 % | 4.15 % |
| Three Year Return | (0.77) % | 3.60 % |
| Five Year Return | 1.71 % | 3.24 % |
| Ten Year Return | 4.86 % | 1.79 % |
| Net Asset | 4.66 B | 4.11 B |
| Cash Position Weight | 0.17 % | 10.61 % |
| Bond Positions Weight | 0.30 % | 11.24 % |
Vanguard California Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vanguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.34 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
About Vanguard California Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vanguard California Long Term? Buying financial instruments such as Vanguard Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Vanguard California Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.