Vanguard Target Retirement Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VTWNX Fund | USD 26.87 0.05 0.19% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Vanguard Target Retirement is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Vanguard Target buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VTWNX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Vanguard Target's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Vanguard Target's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 26.94 | Hype Value 26.87 | Market Value 26.87 | Naive Value 26.73 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vanguard Target Retirement given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vanguard Target. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vanguard Target Retirement, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Vanguard |
Execute Vanguard Target Buy or Sell Advice
The Vanguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vanguard Target Retirement. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vanguard Target Retirement or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vanguard Target's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details |
Vanguard Target Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The fund keeps about 11.46% of its net assets in cash |
Vanguard Target current analysts advice
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Vanguard analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Vanguard analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.
Vanguard Target Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vanguard Target's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vanguard Target's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vanguard Target daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vanguard Target Retirement price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vanguard Target returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vanguard Target.
| Mean Return | 0.01 | Value At Risk | -0.59 | Potential Upside | 0.55 | Standard Deviation | 0.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vanguard Target historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vanguard Target Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vanguard Target or Vanguard sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vanguard Target's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vanguard fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Vanguard Target Volatility Alert
Vanguard Target Retirement exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.45 and kurtosis of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vanguard Target's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vanguard Target's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vanguard Target Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vanguard Target's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vanguard Target's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vanguard Target and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vanguard Target or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Target's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Target by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vanguard Target to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vanguard Target | Peer Average |
| Price To Earning | 17.16 X | 6.53 X |
| Price To Book | 1.98 X | 0.74 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.39 X | 0.61 X |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | 0.29 % |
| Year To Date Return | 1.12 % | 0.39 % |
| One Year Return | 8.38 % | 4.15 % |
| Three Year Return | 0.89 % | 3.60 % |
| Five Year Return | 5.00 % | 3.24 % |
| Ten Year Return | 7.81 % | 1.79 % |
| Net Asset | 39.67 B | 4.11 B |
| Minimum Initial Investment | 1 K | 976.16 K |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.32 | 0.65 |
| Cash Position Weight | 11.46 % | 10.61 % |
| Equity Positions Weight | 40.46 % | 63.90 % |
| Bond Positions Weight | 46.52 % | 11.24 % |
Vanguard Target Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vanguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.71 |
About Vanguard Target Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vanguard Target Retirement? Buying financial instruments such as Vanguard Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Vanguard Target Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.