Washington Federal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

WAFD Stock  USD 28.11  0.21  0.75%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Washington Federal is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Washington Federal buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding WAFD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Washington Federal's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Washington Federal's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
28.86
Hype Value
28.11
Market Value
28.11
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Washington Federal given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Washington Federal. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Washington Federal, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Washington Federal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Washington Stock refer to our How to Trade Washington Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Washington and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Washington Federal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Washington Federal Buy or Sell Advice

The Washington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Washington Federal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Washington Federal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Washington Federal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Washington FederalBuy Washington Federal
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Washington Federal has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.25), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.05)
Our trade advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Washington Federal. It analyzes the entity potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Washington Federal is not overpriced, please check out all Washington Federal fundamentals, including its total debt, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the net income and cash flow from operations . Given that Washington Federal has a number of shares shorted of 1.06 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Washington Federal market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Washington Federal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Washington Federal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 Washington Federal paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Washington Federal Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Washington Federal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Washington Federal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Washington Federal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Washington Federal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Washington Federal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Washington Federal.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-2.96
Potential Upside
3.70
Standard Deviation
2.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Washington Federal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Washington Federal Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.3B387.8M(1.4B)296.7M267.0M280.4M
Free Cash Flow134.7M285.0M256.7M198.9M228.7M136.8M
Depreciation39.9M33.9M64.1M23.0M26.4M27.7M
Other Non Cash Items(5.0M)(14.1M)2.2M(66.4M)(76.4M)(72.6M)
Dividends Paid66.5M72.3M76.2M78.4M90.2M53.6M
Capital Expenditures31.9M29.5M11.8M15.1M13.6M16.8M
Net Income173.4M183.6M236.3M257.4M296.0M310.8M
End Period Cash Flow1.7B2.1B684.0M980.6M1.1B1.2B
Change To Netincome(8.9M)(4.2M)15.5M9.0M8.1M7.6M
Investments(928.5M)(594.6M)(172.8M)(1.8B)(1.6B)(1.5B)
Net Borrowings(80M)436.2M(993.8M)405M364.5M382.7M

Washington Federal Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Washington Federal or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Washington Federal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Washington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.92
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Washington Federal Volatility Alert

Washington Federal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 1.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Washington Federal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Washington Federal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Washington Federal Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Washington Federal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Washington Federal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Washington Federal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Washington Federal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Washington Federal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Washington Federal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Washington Federal to competition
FundamentalsWashington FederalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.099-0.31
Return On Asset0.0107-0.14
Profit Margin0.35 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.46 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.67 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding81.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.96 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.06 M4.71 M
Price To Earning10.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.26 X11.42 X
Revenue742.61 M9.43 B
Gross Profit700.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA325.08 M3.9 B
Net Income257.43 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents970.45 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share14.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.65 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity6.54 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share33.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations213.96 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.41 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.67 X4.89 X
Target Price32.75
Number Of Employees2.12 K18.84 K
Beta0.83-0.15
Market Capitalization2.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset22.47 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.87 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.64 %
Note: Disposition of 607 shares by Holz Kelli of Washington Federal at 32.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Washington Federal Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Washington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Washington Federal Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Washington Federal? Buying financial instruments such as Washington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.1B3.7B4.2B4.4B
Total Assets20.8B22.5B25.8B27.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Washington Federal in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Beer and Liquor Thematic Idea Now

Beer and Liquor
Beer and Liquor Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Beer and Liquor theme has 33 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beer and Liquor Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Washington Federal is a strong investment it is important to analyze Washington Federal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Washington Federal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Washington Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Washington Federal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Washington Stock refer to our How to Trade Washington Stock guide.
Note that the Washington Federal information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Washington Federal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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Is Washington Federal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Washington Federal. If investors know Washington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Washington Federal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Washington Federal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Washington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Washington Federal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Washington Federal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Washington Federal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Washington Federal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Washington Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Washington Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Washington Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.