YPF SA (Argentina) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

YPFD Stock  ARS 21,843  73.95  0.34%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding YPF SA D is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides YPF SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding YPF SA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of YPF SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting YPF SA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
20.5 K
Hype Value
21.8 K
Market Value
21.8 K
Naive Value
22.8 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell YPF SA D given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards YPF SA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for YPF SA D, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out YPF SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as YPF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards YPF SA D. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute YPF SA Buy or Sell Advice

The YPF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on YPF SA D. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in YPF SA D or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute YPF SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell YPF SABuy YPF SA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon YPF SA D has a Mean Deviation of 2.56, Semi Deviation of 2.29, Standard Deviation of 3.17, Variance of 10.07, Downside Variance of 6.38 and Semi Variance of 5.24
Macroaxis provides trade recommendation on YPF SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on YPF SA D. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure YPF SA D is not overpriced, please check out all YPF SA D fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to book, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

YPF SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

YPF SA D had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

YPF SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of YPF SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of YPF SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of YPF SA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use YPF SA D price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of YPF SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for YPF SA.
Mean Return
0.44
Value At Risk
-4.17
Potential Upside
6.27
Standard Deviation
3.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of YPF SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

YPF SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to YPF SA or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that YPF SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a YPF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.51
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.6
σ
Overall volatility
3.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

YPF SA Volatility Alert

YPF SA D currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure YPF SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact YPF SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

YPF SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing YPF SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze YPF SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between YPF SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as YPF SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of YPF SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YPF SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare YPF SA to competition
FundamentalsYPF SAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0576-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.95 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding393.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders51.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions2.53 %39.21 %
Price To Earning11.84 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.71 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.47 X11.42 X
Revenue1.24 T9.43 B
Gross Profit250.57 B27.38 B
EBITDA450.98 B3.9 B
Net Income257 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents89.4 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share227.30 X5.01 X
Total Debt670.53 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3,750 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations400.01 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share615.95 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.03) X4.89 X
Target Price3381.83
Number Of Employees7018.84 K
Beta1.77-0.15
Market Capitalization1.77 T19.03 B
Total Asset2.39 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.59 B9.33 B
Working Capital11.32 B1.48 B
Current Asset93.5 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities82.17 B7.9 B

YPF SA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as YPF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About YPF SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell YPF SA D? Buying financial instruments such as YPF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having YPF SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Precious Metals Thematic Idea Now

Precious Metals
Precious Metals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Precious Metals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out YPF SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YPF SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.