Fossil Group Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

FOSL Stock  USD 0.78  0.02  2.50%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Fossil Group. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Fossil over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Fossil's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Fossil's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
2.35
Alpha
(0.83)
Risk
4.14
Sharpe Ratio
(0.17)
Expected Return
(0.70)
Please note that although Fossil alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., NYSE Composite index.) So in this particular case, Fossil did 0.83  worse than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Fossil Group stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Fossil Group has a beta of 2.35  . As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fossil will likely underperform. At this time, Fossil's Book Value Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is expected to rise to 66.04 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 0.61.

Enterprise Value

156.9 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out Fossil Backtesting, Fossil Valuation, Fossil Correlation, Fossil Hype Analysis, Fossil Volatility, Fossil History and analyze Fossil Performance.

Fossil Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Fossil market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Fossil long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Fossil. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Fossil's performance over market.
α-0.83   β2.35

Fossil expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Fossil's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Fossil performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Fossil Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Fossil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Fossil stock market price indicators, traders can identify Fossil position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fossil Return and Market Media

The median price of Fossil for the period between Sat, Jan 20, 2024 and Fri, Apr 19, 2024 is 1.04 with a coefficient of variation of 13.52. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.14, arithmetic mean of 1.03, and mean deviation of 0.11. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Fossil Group, Inc. 7 percent Senior Notes due 2026 Short Interest Update
02/16/2024
2
Investor names director candidates at Fossil Group after stock price drop
02/20/2024
3
Fossil Group, Inc. Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Release and Conference Call
03/06/2024
4
Fossil Non-GAAP EPS of -0.30, revenue of 421.3M
03/13/2024
5
Disposition of tradable shares by Corrie Pamela B of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3
03/22/2024
6
Fossil Group announces executive position elimination
04/03/2024
7
Disposition of 4647 shares by Melissa Lowenkron of Fossil at 88.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
04/15/2024
8
Kanen Wealth Management critiques Fossil Groups strategy
04/18/2024

About Fossil Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Fossil or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Fossil Group has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.640.61
Dividend Yield0.0049040.003186

Fossil Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Fossil's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Fossil's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Fossil's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Fossil. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Fossil's management manipulating its earnings.
13th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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Fossil technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Fossil technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Fossil trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...