Apple Backtesting

AAPL -- USA Stock  

USD 215.29  2.37  1.09%

With this equity back-testing module your can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Apple and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Apple over given investment horizon. Check also Apple Hype Analysis, Apple Correlation, Apple Valuation, Apple Volatility as well as analyze Apple Alpha and Beta and Apple Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Backtest

Apple 'What if' Analysis

August 24, 2018
0.00
No Change 0.00  0.0%
In 31 days
September 23, 2018
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Apple on August 24, 2018 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Apple or generate 0.0% return on investment in Apple over 30 days. Apple is related to or competes with Fabrinet, Hamilton Beach, LG Display, Emerson Radio, Esports Entertainment, GoPro, and iRobot. Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets mobile communication and media devices, and personal computers to consumer...

Apple Upside/Downside Indicators

Downside Deviation1.73
Information Ratio0.06
Maximum Drawdown6.34
Value At Risk2.66
Potential Upside3.04
  

Apple Market Premium Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0229
Jensen Alpha0.0296
Total Risk Alpha0.60
Sortino Ratio0.07
Treynor Ratio0.4002

Apple Backtested Returns

We consider Apple not too risky. Apple secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0393 which signifies that Apple had 0.0393% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards foreseeing volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Apple which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Apple Downside Deviation of 1.73, Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0229 and Mean Deviation of 1.38 to double-check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.0699%. Apple has performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows Beta (market volatility) of 0.1265 which signifies that as returns on market increase, Apple returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Apple will be expected to be smaller as well.. Although it is extremely important to respect Apple historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Apple technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0699% will be sustainable into the future. Apple right now shows a risk of 1.7806%. Please confirm Apple Jensen Alpha as well as the relationship between Potential Upside and Skewness to decide if Apple will be following its price patterns.
Advice Volatility Trend Exposure Correlations
15 days auto-correlation(0.52) 

Good reverse predictability

Apple has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Apple time series from August 24, 2018 to September 8, 2018 and September 8, 2018 to September 23, 2018. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Apple price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Apple price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Apple has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Apple for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.76

Apple lagged returns against current returns

 Current and Lagged Values 
      Timeline 

Apple regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

 Current vs Lagged Prices 
      Timeline 

Apple Lagged Returns

 Regressed Prices 
      Timeline 

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Apple Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Apple and Fabrinet. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Check also Apple Hype Analysis, Apple Correlation, Apple Valuation, Apple Volatility as well as analyze Apple Alpha and Beta and Apple Performance. Please also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and etfs to find investment opportunities.
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