Air Products And Stock Market Value
| APD Stock | USD 233.71 0.65 0.28% |
| Symbol | Air |
Air Products Price To Book Ratio
Is Air Products' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Products. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Products listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.062 | Dividend Share 7 | Earnings Share 10.47 | Revenue Per Share 55.864 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Air Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Products' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Products' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Products' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Products' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Products' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Products is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Products' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Air Products 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Air Products' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Air Products.
| 03/25/2024 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Air Products on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Air Products and or generate 0.0% return on investment in Air Products over 30 days. Air Products is related to or competes with PPG Industries, Sherwin Williams, Ecolab, Albemarle Corp, RPM International, Eastman Chemical, and LyondellBasell Industries. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. provides atmospheric gases, process and specialty gases, equipment, and related service... More
Air Products Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Air Products' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Air Products and upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.22 |
Air Products Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Air Products' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Air Products' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Air Products historical prices to predict the future Air Products' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.24) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.43) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.09) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air Products' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Air Products Backtested Returns
Air Products secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0656, which signifies that the company had a -0.0656% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Air Products and exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Air Products' Standard Deviation of 2.31, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 1.22 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.47, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Air Products will likely underperform. Air Products has an expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to confirm Air Products kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if Air Products performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Air Products and has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Air Products time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Air Products price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Air Products price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.41 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 10.58 |
Air Products lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Air Products stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Air Products' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Air Products returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Air Products has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Air Products regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Air Products stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Air Products stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Air Products stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Air Products Lagged Returns
When evaluating Air Products' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Air Products stock have on its future price. Air Products autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Air Products autocorrelation shows the relationship between Air Products stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Air Products and.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Air Products
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Products position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Products will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Air Stock
| 0.46 | ASH | Ashland Global Holdings Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Products could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Products when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Products - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Products and to buy it.
The correlation of Air Products is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Products moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Products moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Products can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Air Products Correlation, Air Products Volatility and Air Products Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Air Products. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis
When running Air Products' price analysis, check to measure Air Products' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Products is operating at the current time. Most of Air Products' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Products' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Products' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Products to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Air Products technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.