Aerovironment Stock Market Value
| AVAV Stock | USD 146.70 0.08 0.05% |
| Symbol | AeroVironment |
AeroVironment Price To Book Ratio
Is AeroVironment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AeroVironment. If investors know AeroVironment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AeroVironment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share (4.42) | Revenue Per Share 26.551 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.388 | Return On Assets 0.068 |
The market value of AeroVironment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AeroVironment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AeroVironment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AeroVironment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AeroVironment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AeroVironment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AeroVironment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AeroVironment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AeroVironment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
AeroVironment 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AeroVironment's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AeroVironment.
| 04/25/2023 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in AeroVironment on April 25, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AeroVironment or generate 0.0% return on investment in AeroVironment over 360 days. AeroVironment is related to or competes with Novocure, HubSpot, DigitalOcean Holdings, Appian Corp, and Repligen. AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related servi... More
AeroVironment Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AeroVironment's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AeroVironment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0682 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 34.38 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.16 |
AeroVironment Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AeroVironment's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AeroVironment's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AeroVironment historical prices to predict the future AeroVironment's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0609 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2839 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1268 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3611 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AeroVironment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AeroVironment Backtested Returns
AeroVironment appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AeroVironment secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0788, which signifies that the company had a 0.0788% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for AeroVironment, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of AeroVironment's Downside Deviation of 2.21, mean deviation of 2.03, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0609 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AeroVironment holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.94, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. AeroVironment returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AeroVironment is expected to follow. Please check AeroVironment's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether AeroVironment's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.66 |
Good predictability
AeroVironment has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AeroVironment time series from 25th of April 2023 to 22nd of October 2023 and 22nd of October 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AeroVironment price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current AeroVironment price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 195.05 |
AeroVironment lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is AeroVironment stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AeroVironment's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AeroVironment returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AeroVironment has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
AeroVironment regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AeroVironment stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AeroVironment stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AeroVironment stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
AeroVironment Lagged Returns
When evaluating AeroVironment's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AeroVironment stock have on its future price. AeroVironment autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AeroVironment autocorrelation shows the relationship between AeroVironment stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AeroVironment.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
AeroVironment Investors Sentiment
The influence of AeroVironment's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in AeroVironment. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to AeroVironment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AeroVironment. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AeroVironment can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AeroVironment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
AeroVironment's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for AeroVironment's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average AeroVironment's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on AeroVironment.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AeroVironment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AeroVironment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AeroVironment options trading.
Pair Trading with AeroVironment
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AeroVironment position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AeroVironment will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AeroVironment Stock
| 0.7 | CW | Curtiss Wright Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against AeroVironment Stock
| 0.78 | EVEX | Eve Holding Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | DPRO | Draganfly Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | BA | Boeing Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | CVU | CPI Aerostructures | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AeroVironment could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AeroVironment when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AeroVironment - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AeroVironment to buy it.
The correlation of AeroVironment is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AeroVironment moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AeroVironment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AeroVironment can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out AeroVironment Correlation, AeroVironment Volatility and AeroVironment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AeroVironment. For more information on how to buy AeroVironment Stock please use our How to Invest in AeroVironment guide.Note that the AeroVironment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AeroVironment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for AeroVironment Stock analysis
When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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AeroVironment technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.