Eros International Backtesting

EROS -- USA Stock  

USD 13.55  0.25  1.81%

With this equity back-testing module your can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eros International Plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eros International over given investment horizon. Additionally see Eros International Hype Analysis, Eros International Correlation, Eros International Valuation, Eros International Volatility as well as analyze Eros International Alpha and Beta and Eros International Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Backtest

Eros International 'What if' Analysis

May 20, 2018
0.00
No Change 0.00  0.0%
In 31 days
June 19, 2018
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eros International on May 20, 2018 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eros International Plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eros International over 30 days. Eros International is related to or competes with DHX Media, , VirTra, 500 com, AMC Entertainment, and CINEMARK HLDGS. Eros International Plc, together with its subsidiaries, co-produces, acquires, and distributes Indian films in various f...

Eros International Upside/Downside Indicators

Downside Deviation2.42
Information Ratio0.2044
Maximum Drawdown12.55
Value At Risk2.65
Potential Upside3.08
  

Eros International Market Premium Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.01
Sortino Ratio0.2055

Eros International Plc Backtested Returns

We consider Eros International not very risky. Eros International Plc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0646 which denotes Eros International Plc had 0.0646% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards predicting volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Eros International Plc which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Eros International Plc Coefficient Of Variation of 489.35, Mean Deviation of 1.72 and Downside Deviation of 2.42 to check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.1291%. Eros International has performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows Beta (market volatility) of 0.0 which denotes to the fact that the returns on MARKET and Eros International are completely uncorrelated. Although it is extremely important to respect Eros International Plc historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Eros International Plc technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1291% will be sustainable into the future. Eros International Plc right now shows a risk of 1.9974%. Please confirm Eros International Plc Coefficient Of Variation, Maximum Drawdown as well as the relationship between Maximum Drawdown and Skewness to decide if Eros International Plc will be following its price patterns.
Advice Volatility Trend Exposure Correlations
15 days auto-correlation 0.46 

Average predictability

Eros International Plc has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eros International time series from May 20, 2018 to June 4, 2018 and June 4, 2018 to June 19, 2018. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eros International Plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Eros International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient 0.46
Spearman Rank Test -0.79
Price Variance 0.13
Lagged Price Variance 0.11

Eros International Plc lagged returns against current returns

 Current and Lagged Values 
      Timeline 

Eros International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

 Current vs Lagged Prices 
      Timeline 

Eros International Lagged Returns

 Regressed Prices 
      Timeline 

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Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Eros International and DHX Media Ltd. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Additionally see Eros International Hype Analysis, Eros International Correlation, Eros International Valuation, Eros International Volatility as well as analyze Eros International Alpha and Beta and Eros International Performance. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.