Etsy Inc Stock Market Value

ETSY Stock  USD 66.07  0.19  0.29%   
Etsy's market value is the price at which a share of Etsy stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Etsy Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Etsy Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Etsy over a given investment horizon.
Check out Etsy Correlation, Etsy Volatility and Etsy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Etsy.
Symbol

Etsy Inc Price To Book Ratio

Is Etsy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Etsy. If investors know Etsy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Etsy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Earnings Share
2.24
Revenue Per Share
22.435
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.043
Return On Assets
0.0883
The market value of Etsy Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Etsy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Etsy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Etsy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Etsy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Etsy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Etsy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Etsy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Etsy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Etsy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Etsy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Etsy.
0.00
03/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
03/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Etsy on March 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Etsy Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Etsy over 720 days. Etsy is related to or competes with LL Flooring, AutoNation, Macys, Home Depot, and Foot Locker. Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers primarily in the United States, the Un... More

Etsy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Etsy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Etsy Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Etsy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Etsy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Etsy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Etsy historical prices to predict the future Etsy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Etsy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Etsy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.6065.4668.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.6373.9576.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.0170.8873.74
Details
32 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
89.3798.21109.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Etsy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Etsy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Etsy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Etsy Inc.

Etsy Inc Backtested Returns

Etsy Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which denotes the company had -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Etsy Inc exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please confirm Etsy's Standard Deviation of 2.89, mean deviation of 2.2, and Variance of 8.35 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.71, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Etsy will likely underperform. Etsy Inc exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Etsy Inc has an expected return of -0.4%. Please make sure to confirm Etsy Inc total risk alpha, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and period momentum indicator to decide if Etsy Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Etsy Inc has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Etsy time series from 29th of March 2022 to 24th of March 2023 and 24th of March 2023 to 18th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Etsy Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Etsy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance170.84

Etsy Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Etsy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Etsy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Etsy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Etsy stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Etsy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Etsy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Etsy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Etsy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Etsy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Etsy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Etsy stock have on its future price. Etsy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Etsy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Etsy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Etsy Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Etsy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Etsy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Etsy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Etsy Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Etsy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Etsy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Etsy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Etsy Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Etsy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Etsy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Etsy Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Etsy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Etsy Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Etsy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Etsy Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Etsy Inc Stock:
Check out Etsy Correlation, Etsy Volatility and Etsy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Etsy.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Etsy Stock analysis

When running Etsy's price analysis, check to measure Etsy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Etsy is operating at the current time. Most of Etsy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Etsy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Etsy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Etsy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Etsy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Etsy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Etsy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...