Evolv Technologies Holdings Stock Market Value

EVLV Stock  USD 4.19  0.31  7.99%   
Evolv Technologies' market value is the price at which a share of Evolv Technologies trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Evolv Technologies Holdings investors about its performance. Evolv Technologies is selling for under 4.19 as of the 25th of April 2024; that is 7.99% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.81.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Evolv Technologies Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Evolv Technologies over a given investment horizon. Check out Evolv Technologies Correlation, Evolv Technologies Volatility and Evolv Technologies Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Evolv Technologies.
Symbol

Evolv Technologies Price To Book Ratio

Is Evolv Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evolv Technologies. If investors know Evolv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Evolv Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.71)
Revenue Per Share
0.539
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.57)
The market value of Evolv Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Evolv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Evolv Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Evolv Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Evolv Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Evolv Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolv Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolv Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolv Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Evolv Technologies 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Evolv Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Evolv Technologies.
0.00
01/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Evolv Technologies on January 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Evolv Technologies Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Evolv Technologies over 90 days. Evolv Technologies is related to or competes with OSI Systems, and LSI Industries. Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence -based touchless security screening systems More

Evolv Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Evolv Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Evolv Technologies Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Evolv Technologies Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Evolv Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Evolv Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Evolv Technologies historical prices to predict the future Evolv Technologies' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evolv Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.1910.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.254.9510.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.359.24
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.057.758.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Evolv Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Evolv Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Evolv Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Evolv Technologies.

Evolv Technologies Backtested Returns

Evolv Technologies secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0024, which denotes the company had a -0.0024% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Evolv Technologies Holdings exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Evolv Technologies' Downside Deviation of 5.24, mean deviation of 3.82, and Coefficient Of Variation of 6602.93 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.51, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Evolv Technologies are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Evolv Technologies is expected to outperform it. Evolv Technologies has an expected return of -0.0142%. Please make sure to confirm Evolv Technologies maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Evolv Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

Evolv Technologies Holdings has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Evolv Technologies time series from 26th of January 2024 to 11th of March 2024 and 11th of March 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Evolv Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Evolv Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

Evolv Technologies lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Evolv Technologies stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Evolv Technologies' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Evolv Technologies returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Evolv Technologies has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Evolv Technologies regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Evolv Technologies stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Evolv Technologies stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Evolv Technologies stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Evolv Technologies Lagged Returns

When evaluating Evolv Technologies' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Evolv Technologies stock have on its future price. Evolv Technologies autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Evolv Technologies autocorrelation shows the relationship between Evolv Technologies stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Evolv Technologies Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Evolv Technologies

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Evolv Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Evolv Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Evolv Stock

  0.48OCC Optical CablePairCorr
  0.43ITRN Ituran LocationPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Evolv Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Evolv Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Evolv Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Evolv Technologies Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Evolv Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Evolv Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Evolv Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Evolv Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Evolv Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Evolv Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Evolv Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Evolv Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Evolv Stock analysis

When running Evolv Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Evolv Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolv Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Evolv Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolv Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolv Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolv Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Evolv Technologies technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Evolv Technologies technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Evolv Technologies trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...