Franklin Growth Fund Market Value
| FKGRX Fund | USD 128.62 0.97 0.75% |
| Symbol | Franklin |
Franklin Growth 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Growth.
| 01/20/2024 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Franklin Growth on January 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Growth Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Growth over 90 days. Franklin Growth is related to or competes with Us Government, Lord Abbett, Us Government, Ridgeworth Seix, Prudential Government, and Fidelity Series. The fund invests substantially in the equity securities of companies that are leaders in their industries More
Franklin Growth Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Growth Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8761 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.37 |
Franklin Growth Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Growth historical prices to predict the future Franklin Growth's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0378 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.037 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.82 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin Growth Backtested Returns
We consider Franklin Growth very steady. Franklin Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0569, which denotes the fund had a 0.0569% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Franklin Growth Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin Growth's Downside Deviation of 0.8761, mean deviation of 0.6314, and Semi Deviation of 0.7419 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0478%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0134, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Growth's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Growth is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.15 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Franklin Growth Fund has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Growth time series from 20th of January 2024 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Franklin Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.15 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.52 |
Franklin Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Franklin Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Growth mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Franklin Growth Lagged Returns
When evaluating Franklin Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Growth Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Franklin Growth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Franklin Growth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Franklin Growth options trading.
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Franklin Growth technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.