Federated Muni And Fund Market Value
FMUIX Fund | USD 14.10 0.07 0.50% |
Symbol | Federated |
Federated Muni 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Muni's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Muni.
03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Federated Muni on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Muni And or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Muni over 30 days. Federated Muni is related to or competes with Vanguard Wellesley, and The Hartford. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio that is allocated between tax-exempt securities and equity securities More
Federated Muni Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Muni's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Muni And upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.343 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.18) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 1.58 | |||
Value At Risk | (0.57) | |||
Potential Upside | 0.4909 |
Federated Muni Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Muni's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Muni's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Muni historical prices to predict the future Federated Muni's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0697 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.16) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0649 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Muni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federated Muni And Backtested Returns
We consider Federated Muni very steady. Federated Muni And secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which denotes the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Federated Muni And, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Muni's Coefficient Of Variation of 781.75, downside deviation of 0.343, and Mean Deviation of 0.2411 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.034%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Federated Muni's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Muni is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.47 |
Average predictability
Federated Muni And has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Muni time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Muni And price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Federated Muni price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.47 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.25 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.0 |
Federated Muni And lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Federated Muni mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Muni's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Muni returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Muni has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Federated Muni regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Muni mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Muni mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Muni mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Federated Muni Lagged Returns
When evaluating Federated Muni's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Muni mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Muni autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Muni autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Muni mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Muni And.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Federated Muni technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.