General Dynamics Stock Market Value
GD Stock | USD 281.11 11.61 3.97% |
Symbol | General |
General Dynamics Price To Book Ratio
Is General Dynamics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.014 | Dividend Share 5.28 | Earnings Share 12.03 | Revenue Per Share 154.761 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.075 |
The market value of General Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
General Dynamics 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to General Dynamics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of General Dynamics.
03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in General Dynamics on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding General Dynamics or generate 0.0% return on investment in General Dynamics over 30 days. General Dynamics is related to or competes with Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, L3Harris Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Hexcel, Ducommun Incorporated, and Mercury Systems. General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide More
General Dynamics Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure General Dynamics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess General Dynamics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.5857 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.1723 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 6.2 | |||
Value At Risk | (0.82) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.47 |
General Dynamics Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for General Dynamics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as General Dynamics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use General Dynamics historical prices to predict the future General Dynamics' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1749 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.216 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.1182 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.2725 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.723 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Dynamics Backtested Returns
We consider General Dynamics very steady. General Dynamics holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for General Dynamics, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out General Dynamics' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1749, market risk adjusted performance of 0.733, and Coefficient Of Variation of 363.37 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. General Dynamics has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, General Dynamics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding General Dynamics is expected to be smaller as well. General Dynamics right now retains a risk of 0.9%. Please check out General Dynamics semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if General Dynamics will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.16 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
General Dynamics has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between General Dynamics time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of General Dynamics price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current General Dynamics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.16 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.06 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 9.96 |
General Dynamics lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is General Dynamics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting General Dynamics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of General Dynamics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that General Dynamics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
General Dynamics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If General Dynamics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if General Dynamics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in General Dynamics stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
General Dynamics Lagged Returns
When evaluating General Dynamics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of General Dynamics stock have on its future price. General Dynamics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, General Dynamics autocorrelation shows the relationship between General Dynamics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in General Dynamics.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
General Dynamics Investors Sentiment
The influence of General Dynamics' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in General. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to General Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
General Dynamics' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for General Dynamics' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average General Dynamics' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on General Dynamics.
General Dynamics Implied Volatility | 51.36 |
General Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Dynamics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards General Dynamics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, General Dynamics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from General Dynamics options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out General Dynamics Correlation, General Dynamics Volatility and General Dynamics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on General Dynamics. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.Note that the General Dynamics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other General Dynamics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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When running General Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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General Dynamics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.