Gold Reserve Stock Market Value

GDRZF Stock  USD 3.01  0.01  0.33%   
Gold Reserve's market value is the price at which a share of Gold Reserve trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gold Reserve investors about its performance. Gold Reserve is trading at 3.01 as of the 28th of March 2024. This is a -0.33 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gold Reserve and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gold Reserve over a given investment horizon. Check out Gold Reserve Correlation, Gold Reserve Volatility and Gold Reserve Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gold Reserve.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gold Reserve's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gold Reserve is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gold Reserve's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gold Reserve 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gold Reserve's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gold Reserve.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gold Reserve on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gold Reserve or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gold Reserve over 30 days. Gold Reserve is related to or competes with Chesapeake Energy, Chesapeake Energy, Chesapeake Energy, Advantage Solutions, Atlas Corp, PureCycle Technologies, and GCM Grosvenor. Gold Reserve Inc., an exploration stage company, acquires, explores, and develops mining properties More

Gold Reserve Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gold Reserve's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gold Reserve upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gold Reserve Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gold Reserve's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gold Reserve's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gold Reserve historical prices to predict the future Gold Reserve's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gold Reserve's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.933.025.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.422.514.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.832.925.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.013.023.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gold Reserve. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gold Reserve's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gold Reserve's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gold Reserve.

Gold Reserve Backtested Returns

We consider Gold Reserve relatively risky. Gold Reserve holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0759, which attests that the entity had a 0.0759% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Gold Reserve, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Gold Reserve's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.90), downside deviation of 1.92, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0641 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Gold Reserve has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.22, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gold Reserve are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gold Reserve is likely to outperform the market. Gold Reserve right now retains a risk of 2.07%. Please check out Gold Reserve downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Gold Reserve will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Gold Reserve has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gold Reserve time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gold Reserve price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Gold Reserve price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Gold Reserve lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gold Reserve otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gold Reserve's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gold Reserve returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gold Reserve has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gold Reserve regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gold Reserve otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gold Reserve otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gold Reserve otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gold Reserve Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gold Reserve's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gold Reserve otc stock have on its future price. Gold Reserve autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gold Reserve autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gold Reserve otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gold Reserve.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Gold Reserve in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Gold Reserve's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Gold Reserve options trading.

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Check out Gold Reserve Correlation, Gold Reserve Volatility and Gold Reserve Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gold Reserve.
Note that the Gold Reserve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gold Reserve's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running Gold Reserve's price analysis, check to measure Gold Reserve's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gold Reserve is operating at the current time. Most of Gold Reserve's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gold Reserve's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gold Reserve's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gold Reserve to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Gold Reserve technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Gold Reserve technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Gold Reserve trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...