Vaneck Junior Gold Etf Market Value
| GDXJ Etf | USD 41.17 0.97 2.41% |
| Symbol | VanEck |
The market value of VanEck Junior Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Junior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Junior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Junior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Junior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Junior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Junior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Junior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
VanEck Junior 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck Junior's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck Junior.
| 05/04/2022 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in VanEck Junior on May 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck Junior Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck Junior over 720 days. VanEck Junior is related to or competes with Sprott Physical, and Sprott Physical. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in securities that comprise the index More
VanEck Junior Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck Junior's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck Junior Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0909 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.58 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.17 |
VanEck Junior Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck Junior's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck Junior's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck Junior historical prices to predict the future VanEck Junior's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0882 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1366 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0964 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1555 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Junior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Junior Gold Backtested Returns
VanEck Junior appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. VanEck Junior Gold owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the etf had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for VanEck Junior Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please review VanEck Junior's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0882, semi deviation of 1.87, and Coefficient Of Variation of 760.33 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 1.79, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, VanEck Junior will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.56 |
Modest predictability
VanEck Junior Gold has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck Junior time series from 4th of May 2022 to 29th of April 2023 and 29th of April 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck Junior Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current VanEck Junior price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.56 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.13 |
VanEck Junior Gold lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is VanEck Junior etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck Junior's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck Junior returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck Junior has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
VanEck Junior regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck Junior etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck Junior etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck Junior etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
VanEck Junior Lagged Returns
When evaluating VanEck Junior's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck Junior etf have on its future price. VanEck Junior autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck Junior autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck Junior etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck Junior Gold.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
VanEck Junior Implied Volatility | 48.16 |
VanEck Junior's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Junior Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Junior's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Junior stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Junior's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VanEck Junior in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VanEck Junior's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VanEck Junior options trading.
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VanEck Junior technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.