Home Depot Backtesting

The Home Depot Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 172.06  0.8  0.46%

With this equity back-testing module your can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Home Depot Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Home Depot over given investment horizon. Please also check Home Depot Hype Analysis, Home Depot Correlation, Home Depot Valuation, Home Depot Volatility as well as analyze Home Depot Alpha and Beta and Home Depot Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Home Depot 'What if' Analysis

October 24, 2017
No Change 0.00  0.0%
In 31 days
November 23, 2017
If you would invest  0.00  in Home Depot on October 24, 2017 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Home Depot Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Home Depot over 30 days. Home Depot is related to or competes with Macys, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Vipshop Holdings, and Aarons. It operates The Home Depot stores that sell various building materials, home improvement products, and lawn and garden p...

Home Depot Upside/Downside Indicators


Home Depot Market Premium Indicators

The Home Depot lagged returns against current returns

 Current and Lagged Values 

Home Depot regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

 Current vs Lagged Prices 

The Home Depot Backtested Returns

We consider Home Depot not too risky. The Home Depot holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1748 which attests that The Home Depot had 0.1748% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards determining volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for The Home Depot which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the corporation. Please check out Home Depot Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.2), Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0745 and Downside Deviation of 0.9429 to validate if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.1592%. Home Depot has performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of -0.7349 which attests that as returns on market increase, returns on owning Home Depot are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, Home Depot is likely to outperform the market.. Although it is extremely important to respect The Home Depot current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating The Home Depot technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1592% will be sustainable into the future. The Home Depot right now retains a risk of 0.9109%. Please check out Home Depot Coefficient Of Variation, Maximum Drawdown, Skewness, as well as the relationship between Total Risk Alpha and Downside Variance to decide if Home Depot will be following its current trending patterns.
Advice Volatility Trend Exposure Correlations
15 days auto-correlation(0.74) 

Almost perfect reverse predictability

The Home Depot Inc has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Home Depot time series from October 24, 2017 to November 8, 2017 and November 8, 2017 to November 23, 2017. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of The Home Depot price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Home Depot price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that The Home Depot Inc has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Home Depot for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient -0.74
Spearman Rank Test -0.84
Price Variance 10.72
Lagged Price Variance 2.0

Home Depot Lagged Returns

 Regressed Prices 

Home Depot Performance vs DOW

The median price of Home Depot for the period between Tue, Oct 24, 2017 and Thu, Nov 23, 2017 is 165.78 with a coefficient of variation of 1.63. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.7, arithmetic mean of 166.34, and mean deviation of 2.08. The Stock received some media coverage during the period.
Price Growth (%)  
Acquisition by Ackerman F Duane of 6993 shares of Home Depot...11/22/2017