Heineken Nv Stock Market Value
| HINKF Stock | USD 91.44 1.75 1.88% |
| Symbol | Heineken |
Heineken 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heineken's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heineken.
| 01/19/2024 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Heineken on January 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heineken NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heineken over 90 days. Heineken is related to or competes with Compania Cervecerias, Boston Beer, Molson Coors, Ambev SA, and Molson Coors. Heineken N.V. engages in the brewing and selling of beer and cider More
Heineken Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heineken's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heineken NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.17 |
Heineken Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heineken's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heineken's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heineken historical prices to predict the future Heineken's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.27) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2288 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Heineken's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Heineken NV Backtested Returns
Heineken NV holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0706, which attests that the entity had a -0.0706% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Heineken NV exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Heineken's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2388, risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Standard Deviation of 1.53 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.69, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Heineken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Heineken is likely to outperform the market. Heineken NV has an expected return of -0.11%. Please make sure to check out Heineken skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Heineken NV performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.38 |
Poor reverse predictability
Heineken NV has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heineken time series from 19th of January 2024 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heineken NV price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Heineken price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.28 |
Heineken NV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Heineken otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Heineken's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Heineken returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Heineken has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Heineken regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Heineken otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Heineken otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Heineken otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Heineken Lagged Returns
When evaluating Heineken's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Heineken otc stock have on its future price. Heineken autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Heineken autocorrelation shows the relationship between Heineken otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Heineken NV.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Heineken in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Heineken's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Heineken options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Heineken Correlation, Heineken Volatility and Heineken Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heineken. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for Heineken OTC Stock analysis
When running Heineken's price analysis, check to measure Heineken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heineken is operating at the current time. Most of Heineken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heineken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heineken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heineken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Heineken technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.