Eagle Capital Appreciation Fund Market Value
HRCUX Fund | USD 55.25 0.02 0.04% |
Symbol | Eagle |
Eagle Capital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eagle Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eagle Capital.
04/03/2023 |
| 03/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Eagle Capital on April 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eagle Capital Appreciation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eagle Capital over 360 days. Eagle Capital is related to or competes with American Express, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, High-yield Municipal, Via Renewables, Bondbloxx ETF, and Jpmorgan Equity. During normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing at least 65 percent of its net ass... More
Eagle Capital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eagle Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eagle Capital Appreciation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.8137 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.0852 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 4.96 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.32) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.89 |
Eagle Capital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eagle Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eagle Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eagle Capital historical prices to predict the future Eagle Capital's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1271 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.2142 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.1035 | |||
Treynor Ratio | (4.52) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eagle Capital Apprec Backtested Returns
Eagle Capital appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Eagle Capital Apprec secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which denotes the fund had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Eagle Capital Appreciation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Eagle Capital's Coefficient Of Variation of 452.56, downside deviation of 0.8137, and Mean Deviation of 0.7433 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0461, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Eagle Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Eagle Capital is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.80 |
Very good predictability
Eagle Capital Appreciation has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eagle Capital time series from 3rd of April 2023 to 30th of September 2023 and 30th of September 2023 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eagle Capital Apprec price movement. The serial correlation of 0.8 indicates that around 80.0% of current Eagle Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.8 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.76 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 17.05 |
Eagle Capital Apprec lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Eagle Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eagle Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eagle Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eagle Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Eagle Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eagle Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eagle Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eagle Capital mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Eagle Capital Lagged Returns
When evaluating Eagle Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eagle Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Eagle Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eagle Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eagle Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eagle Capital Appreciation.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eagle Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eagle Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eagle Capital options trading.
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When running Eagle Capital's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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