Jpmorgan Income Builder Fund Market Value

JNBZX Fund  USD 9.43  0.02  0.21%   
Jpmorgan Income's market value is the price at which a share of Jpmorgan Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jpmorgan Income Builder investors about its performance. Jpmorgan Income is trading at 9.43 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is -0.21 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jpmorgan Income Builder and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jpmorgan Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Jpmorgan Income Correlation, Jpmorgan Income Volatility and Jpmorgan Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jpmorgan Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Income.
0.00
10/22/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jpmorgan Income on October 22, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Income Builder or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Income over 180 days. Jpmorgan Income is related to or competes with Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, and Jpmorgan Smartretirement. The fund has significant flexibility to achieve its investment objective and invests in a broad range of income-producin... More

Jpmorgan Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Income Builder upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jpmorgan Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Income historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Income's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.029.439.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.069.479.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.959.369.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.409.619.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Me Builder.

Jpmorgan Me Builder Backtested Returns

Jpmorgan Me Builder holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0103, which attests that the entity had a -0.0103% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jpmorgan Me Builder exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jpmorgan Income's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 0.4107, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.54, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Jpmorgan Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jpmorgan Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.66  

Good predictability

Jpmorgan Income Builder has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Income time series from 22nd of October 2023 to 20th of January 2024 and 20th of January 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Me Builder price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Jpmorgan Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.66
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Jpmorgan Me Builder lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jpmorgan Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Income mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Income Builder.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Jpmorgan Income in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Jpmorgan Income's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Jpmorgan Income options trading.

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Check out Jpmorgan Income Correlation, Jpmorgan Income Volatility and Jpmorgan Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Income.
Note that the Jpmorgan Me Builder information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Income's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Jpmorgan Income technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Jpmorgan Income technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Jpmorgan Income trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...