Northrop Grumman Stock Market Value
| NOC Stock | USD 462.58 10.08 2.23% |
| Symbol | Northrop |
Northrop Grumman Price To Book Ratio
Is Northrop Grumman's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northrop Grumman. If investors know Northrop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northrop Grumman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | Dividend Share 7.34 | Earnings Share 13.53 | Revenue Per Share 259.34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 |
The market value of Northrop Grumman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northrop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northrop Grumman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northrop Grumman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northrop Grumman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northrop Grumman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northrop Grumman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northrop Grumman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northrop Grumman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Northrop Grumman 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northrop Grumman's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northrop Grumman.
| 04/30/2022 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Northrop Grumman on April 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northrop Grumman or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northrop Grumman over 720 days. Northrop Grumman is related to or competes with Novocure, HubSpot, DigitalOcean Holdings, Appian Corp, and Repligen. Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide More
Northrop Grumman Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northrop Grumman's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northrop Grumman upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.61 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.3 |
Northrop Grumman Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northrop Grumman's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northrop Grumman's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northrop Grumman historical prices to predict the future Northrop Grumman's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.55) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northrop Grumman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northrop Grumman Backtested Returns
Northrop Grumman has Sharpe Ratio of -5.0E-4, which conveys that the firm had a -5.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Northrop Grumman exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Northrop Grumman's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 1.11, and Mean Deviation of 0.7275 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0517, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northrop Grumman's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northrop Grumman is expected to be smaller as well. Northrop Grumman has an expected return of -6.0E-4%. Please make sure to verify Northrop Grumman treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Northrop Grumman performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.39 |
Below average predictability
Northrop Grumman has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northrop Grumman time series from 30th of April 2022 to 25th of April 2023 and 25th of April 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northrop Grumman price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Northrop Grumman price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.39 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 290.01 |
Northrop Grumman lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Northrop Grumman stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northrop Grumman's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northrop Grumman returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northrop Grumman has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Northrop Grumman regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northrop Grumman stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northrop Grumman stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northrop Grumman stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Northrop Grumman Lagged Returns
When evaluating Northrop Grumman's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northrop Grumman stock have on its future price. Northrop Grumman autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northrop Grumman autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northrop Grumman stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northrop Grumman.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Northrop Grumman Investors Sentiment
The influence of Northrop Grumman's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Northrop. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Northrop Grumman's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Northrop. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Northrop can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Northrop Grumman. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Northrop Grumman's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Northrop Grumman's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Northrop Grumman's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Northrop Grumman.
Northrop Grumman Implied Volatility | 28.01 |
Northrop Grumman's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northrop Grumman stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northrop Grumman's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northrop Grumman stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northrop Grumman's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Northrop Grumman in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Northrop Grumman's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Northrop Grumman options trading.
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When running Northrop Grumman's price analysis, check to measure Northrop Grumman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northrop Grumman is operating at the current time. Most of Northrop Grumman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northrop Grumman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northrop Grumman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northrop Grumman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Northrop Grumman technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.