City National Rochdale Fund Market Value

RIMHX Fund  USD 34.30  0.19  0.56%   
City National's market value is the price at which a share of City National trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of City National Rochdale investors about its performance. City National is trading at 34.30 as of the 25th of April 2024; that is 0.56 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 34.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of City National Rochdale and determine expected loss or profit from investing in City National over a given investment horizon. Check out City National Correlation, City National Volatility and City National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on City National.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between City National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if City National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, City National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

City National 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to City National's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of City National.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in City National on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding City National Rochdale or generate 0.0% return on investment in City National over 30 days. City National is related to or competes with Edgewood Growth, Hartford Schroders, HUMANA, Morningstar Unconstrained, High Yield, Thrivent High, and Via Renewables. Under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets consists of equity securities More

City National Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure City National's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess City National Rochdale upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

City National Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for City National's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as City National's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use City National historical prices to predict the future City National's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3134.0734.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2233.9834.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.3934.1534.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.9234.0635.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as City National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against City National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, City National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in City National Rochdale.

City National Rochdale Backtested Returns

We consider City National very steady. City National Rochdale secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for City National Rochdale, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm City National's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0768, downside deviation of 0.9005, and Mean Deviation of 0.5861 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0829%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.91, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. City National returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, City National is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

City National Rochdale has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between City National time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of City National Rochdale price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current City National price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.22

City National Rochdale lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is City National mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting City National's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of City National returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that City National has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

City National regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If City National mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if City National mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in City National mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

City National Lagged Returns

When evaluating City National's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of City National mutual fund have on its future price. City National autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, City National autocorrelation shows the relationship between City National mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in City National Rochdale.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards City National in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, City National's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from City National options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out City National Correlation, City National Volatility and City National Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on City National.
Note that the City National Rochdale information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other City National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
City National technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of City National technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of City National trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...