Transamerica Small Cap Fund Market Value
| RTSGX Fund | USD 6.60 0.05 0.76% |
| Symbol | Transamerica |
Transamerica Small 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transamerica Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transamerica Small.
| 03/01/2023 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Transamerica Small on March 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transamerica Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transamerica Small over 420 days. Transamerica Small is related to or competes with Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, Transamerica Capital, Transamerica Growth, Transamerica Large, and Transamerica Large. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in stocks of small capitalization com... More
Transamerica Small Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transamerica Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transamerica Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.54 |
Transamerica Small Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transamerica Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transamerica Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transamerica Small historical prices to predict the future Transamerica Small's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.037 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0313 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transamerica Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Transamerica Small Cap Backtested Returns
We consider Transamerica Small not too volatile. Transamerica Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0353, which indicates the fund had a 0.0353% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Transamerica Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Transamerica Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.037, semi deviation of 1.06, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1883.25 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0377%. The entity has a beta of 1.51, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Transamerica Small will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
Transamerica Small Cap has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transamerica Small time series from 1st of March 2023 to 27th of September 2023 and 27th of September 2023 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transamerica Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Transamerica Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.17 |
Transamerica Small Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Transamerica Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transamerica Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transamerica Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transamerica Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transamerica Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transamerica Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transamerica Small mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Transamerica Small Lagged Returns
When evaluating Transamerica Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transamerica Small mutual fund have on its future price. Transamerica Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transamerica Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transamerica Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transamerica Small Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Transamerica Small Correlation, Transamerica Small Volatility and Transamerica Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transamerica Small. Note that the Transamerica Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Transamerica Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Transamerica Small technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.