We consider American Funds not too risky. American Funds Washi
secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.1063 which signifies that American Funds Washi
had 0.1063% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 1 month. Our philosophy in foreseeing volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators
that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators
for American Funds Washington Mutual R4 which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Funds Washi to double-check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.0687%. The organization shows Beta (market volatility) of 0.0 which signifies that the returns on MARKET and American Funds are completely uncorrelated. Although it is extremely important to respect American Funds Washi
historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy in foreseeing future performance of any fund is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators
. By analyzing American Funds Washi technical indicators
you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0687% will be sustainable into the future.
|15 days auto-correlation||(0.08) |
Very weak reverse predictability
American Funds Washington Mutual R4 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Funds time series from April 21, 2018 to May 6, 2018 and May 6, 2018 to May 21, 2018. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Funds Washi price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current American Funds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that American Funds Washington Mutual R4 has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of American Funds for similar time interval.
|Correlation Coefficient|| -0.08|
|Spearman Rank Test|| -0.52|
|Price Variance|| 0.14|
|Lagged Price Variance|| 0.11|