American Beacon Sga Fund Market Value

SGAAX Fund  USD 27.40  0.06  0.22%   
American Beacon's market value is the price at which a share of American Beacon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Beacon Sga investors about its performance. American Beacon is trading at 27.40 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 0.22 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 27.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Beacon Sga and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Beacon over a given investment horizon. Check out American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Beacon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Beacon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Beacon's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Beacon.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Beacon on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Beacon Sga or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Beacon over 30 days. American Beacon is related to or competes with Ridgeworth Seix, Ridgeworth Seix, Virtus Ceredex, Virtus Multi-strategy, Virtus Multi, Ridgeworth Seix, and Ridgeworth Innovative. The fund will invest in securities of issuers located throughout the world, including the United States More

American Beacon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Beacon's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Beacon Sga upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Beacon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Beacon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Beacon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Beacon historical prices to predict the future American Beacon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Beacon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6627.4028.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4927.2327.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.5027.2427.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.3227.3827.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Beacon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Beacon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Beacon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Beacon Sga.

American Beacon Sga Backtested Returns

We consider American Beacon very steady. American Beacon Sga secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for American Beacon Sga, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm American Beacon's risk adjusted performance of 0.0655, and Mean Deviation of 0.5362 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0786%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.0, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. American Beacon returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Beacon is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

American Beacon Sga has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Beacon time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Beacon Sga price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current American Beacon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

American Beacon Sga lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Beacon mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Beacon's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Beacon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Beacon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

American Beacon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Beacon mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Beacon mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Beacon mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

American Beacon Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Beacon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Beacon mutual fund have on its future price. American Beacon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Beacon autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Beacon mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Beacon Sga.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon.
Note that the American Beacon Sga information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Beacon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running American Beacon's price analysis, check to measure American Beacon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Beacon is operating at the current time. Most of American Beacon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Beacon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Beacon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Beacon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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American Beacon technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Beacon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Beacon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...