Tweedy Browne Value Fund Market Value

TWEBX Fund  USD 19.53  0.16  0.83%   
Tweedy Browne's market value is the price at which a share of Tweedy Browne trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tweedy Browne Value investors about its performance. Tweedy Browne is trading at 19.53 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 0.83 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tweedy Browne Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tweedy Browne over a given investment horizon. Check out Tweedy Browne Correlation, Tweedy Browne Volatility and Tweedy Browne Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tweedy Browne.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tweedy Browne's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tweedy Browne is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tweedy Browne's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tweedy Browne 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tweedy Browne's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tweedy Browne.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tweedy Browne on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tweedy Browne Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tweedy Browne over 30 days. Tweedy Browne is related to or competes with State Farm, Tweedy Browne, Tweedy Browne, Tweedy Browne, Vanguard Mid-cap, and Vanguard Tax-managed. The fund invests primarily in U.S. and foreign equity securities that the Adviser believes are undervalued More

Tweedy Browne Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tweedy Browne's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tweedy Browne Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tweedy Browne Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tweedy Browne's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tweedy Browne's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tweedy Browne historical prices to predict the future Tweedy Browne's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tweedy Browne's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0419.5320.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8719.3619.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.1419.6320.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3319.4819.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tweedy Browne. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tweedy Browne's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tweedy Browne's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tweedy Browne Value.

Tweedy Browne Value Backtested Returns

We consider Tweedy Browne very steady. Tweedy Browne Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the fund had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tweedy Browne Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Tweedy Browne's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1052, coefficient of variation of 520.44, and Semi Deviation of 0.4642 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0869%. The entity has a beta of 0.67, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tweedy Browne's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tweedy Browne is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Tweedy Browne Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tweedy Browne time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tweedy Browne Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Tweedy Browne price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Tweedy Browne Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tweedy Browne mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tweedy Browne's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tweedy Browne returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tweedy Browne has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tweedy Browne regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tweedy Browne mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tweedy Browne mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tweedy Browne mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tweedy Browne Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tweedy Browne's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tweedy Browne mutual fund have on its future price. Tweedy Browne autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tweedy Browne autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tweedy Browne mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tweedy Browne Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tweedy Browne in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tweedy Browne's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tweedy Browne options trading.

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Check out Tweedy Browne Correlation, Tweedy Browne Volatility and Tweedy Browne Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tweedy Browne.
Note that the Tweedy Browne Value information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tweedy Browne's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Tweedy Mutual Fund analysis

When running Tweedy Browne's price analysis, check to measure Tweedy Browne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tweedy Browne is operating at the current time. Most of Tweedy Browne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tweedy Browne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tweedy Browne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tweedy Browne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Tweedy Browne technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Tweedy Browne technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Tweedy Browne trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...