United Guardian Stock Market Value
| UG Stock | USD 8.42 0.28 3.44% |
| Symbol | United |
United Guardian Price To Book Ratio
Is United Guardian's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Guardian. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Guardian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.086 | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 0.56 | Revenue Per Share 2.369 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of United Guardian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Guardian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Guardian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Guardian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Guardian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Guardian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Guardian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Guardian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
United Guardian 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Guardian's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Guardian.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in United Guardian on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Guardian or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Guardian over 30 days. United Guardian is related to or competes with Colgate Palmolive, Honest, Hims Hers, European Wax, and Spectrum Brands. United-Guardian, Inc. manufactures and markets cosmetic ingredients, pharmaceuticals, medical lubricants, and proprietar... More
United Guardian Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Guardian's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Guardian upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.037 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.25) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.07 |
United Guardian Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Guardian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Guardian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Guardian historical prices to predict the future United Guardian's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0531 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.174 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0363 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.62 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Guardian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Guardian Backtested Returns
United Guardian appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. United Guardian owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.091, which indicates the firm had a 0.091% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for United Guardian, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review United Guardian's Coefficient Of Variation of 1373.12, semi deviation of 2.49, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0531 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, United Guardian holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, United Guardian's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding United Guardian is expected to be smaller as well. Please check United Guardian's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether United Guardian's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.25 |
Weak reverse predictability
United Guardian has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Guardian time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Guardian price movement. The serial correlation of -0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current United Guardian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.25 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.15 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
United Guardian lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is United Guardian stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Guardian's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Guardian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Guardian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
United Guardian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Guardian stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Guardian stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Guardian stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
United Guardian Lagged Returns
When evaluating United Guardian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Guardian stock have on its future price. United Guardian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Guardian autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Guardian stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Guardian.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards United Guardian in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, United Guardian's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from United Guardian options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether United Guardian is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Guardian's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Guardian's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out United Guardian Correlation, United Guardian Volatility and United Guardian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Guardian. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Guardian guide.Note that the United Guardian information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Guardian's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis
When running United Guardian's price analysis, check to measure United Guardian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Guardian is operating at the current time. Most of United Guardian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Guardian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Guardian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Guardian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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United Guardian technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.