VASCO Data Backtesting

VASCO Data Security International Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 12  0.1  0.84%

With this equity back-testing module your can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VASCO Data Security International Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VASCO Data over given investment horizon. Also please take a look at VASCO Data Hype Analysis, VASCO Data Correlation, VASCO Data Valuation, VASCO Data Volatility as well as analyze VASCO Data Alpha and Beta and VASCO Data Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
SymbolX
Backtest

VASCO Data 'What if' Analysis

September 19, 2017
 0.00 
No Change 0.00  0.0%
In 30 days
October 19, 2017
 0.00 
If you would invest  0.00  in VASCO Data on September 19, 2017 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VASCO Data Security International Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in VASCO Data over 30 days. VASCO Data is related to or competes with Digimarc, Dell Technologies, and Verint Systems. VASCO Data Security International Inc offers VACMAN Controller, a host system software authentication platform that comb...

VASCO Data Upside/Downside Indicators

  

VASCO Data Market Premium Indicators

VASCO Data Security lagged returns against current returns

 Current and Lagged Values 
      Timeline 

VASCO Data regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

 Current vs Lagged Prices 
      Timeline 

VASCO Data Security Backtested Returns

Macroaxis considers VASCO Data not very volatile given 1 month investment horizon. VASCO Data Security owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1365 which indicates VASCO Data Security had 0.1365% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 1 month. Our approach into measuring volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for VASCO Data Security International Inc which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the entity. Please operate VASCO Data Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0405, Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.23) and Downside Deviation of 1.51 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100 VASCO Data holds performance score of 9. The corporation has beta of -0.8999 which indicates . Although it is extremely important to respect VASCO Data Security current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity historical returns. The approach into measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining VASCO Data Security technical indicators you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.2161% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates VASCO Data Jensen Alpha and Downside Variance to make a quick decision on weather VASCO Data Security existing price patterns will revert.
Advice Volatility Trend Exposure Correlations
15 days auto-correlation(0.84) 

Excellent reverse predictability

VASCO Data Security International Inc has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VASCO Data time series from September 19, 2017 to October 4, 2017 and October 4, 2017 to October 19, 2017. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VASCO Data Security price movement. The serial correlation of -0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current VASCO Data price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that VASCO Data Security International Inc has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of VASCO Data for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient -0.84
Spearman Rank Test -0.16
Price Variance 0.05
Lagged Price Variance 0.15

VASCO Data Lagged Returns

 Regressed Prices 
      Timeline 

VASCO Data Performance vs DOW

The median price of VASCO Data for the period between Tue, Sep 19, 2017 and Thu, Oct 19, 2017 is 12.1 with a coefficient of variation of 4.03. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.48, arithmetic mean of 11.98, and mean deviation of 0.42. The Stock received some media coverage during the period.
Price Growth (%)  
      Timeline 
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