Vanguard Health Care Etf Market Value

VHT Etf  USD 257.26  0.56  0.22%   
Vanguard Health's market value is the price at which a share of Vanguard Health trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vanguard Health Care investors about its performance. Vanguard Health is selling for under 257.26 as of the 25th of April 2024; that is -0.22 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 256.11.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vanguard Health Care and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vanguard Health over a given investment horizon. Check out Vanguard Health Correlation, Vanguard Health Volatility and Vanguard Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Health.
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The market value of Vanguard Health Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Health's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Health.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vanguard Health on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Health Care or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Health over 30 days. Vanguard Health is related to or competes with IShares Insurance, SCOR PK, Morningstar Unconstrained, SPACE, and Via Renewables. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Inde... More

Vanguard Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Health's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Health Care upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vanguard Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Health historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Health's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
256.57257.26257.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
232.13232.82282.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
257.99258.68259.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
253.66256.54259.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Health Care.

Vanguard Health Care Backtested Returns

We consider Vanguard Health very steady. Vanguard Health Care owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0309, which indicates the etf had a 0.0309% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Vanguard Health Care, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Vanguard Health's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0139, semi deviation of 0.6418, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4776.88 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0212%. The entity has a beta of 0.28, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Health is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

Vanguard Health Care has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Health time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Health Care price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Vanguard Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.59

Vanguard Health Care lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Health etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Health's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Health etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Health etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Health etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Vanguard Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vanguard Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Health etf have on its future price. Vanguard Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Health etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Health Care.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vanguard Health in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vanguard Health's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vanguard Health options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Vanguard Health Care is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vanguard Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vanguard Health Care Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vanguard Health Care Etf:
Check out Vanguard Health Correlation, Vanguard Health Volatility and Vanguard Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Health.
Note that the Vanguard Health Care information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Vanguard Health technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vanguard Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vanguard Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...