Invesco Small Cap Fund Market Value

VSCAX Fund  USD 22.68  0.42  1.89%   
Invesco Small's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Small Cap investors about its performance. Invesco Small is trading at 22.68 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is 1.89 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Small Correlation, Invesco Small Volatility and Invesco Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Small.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Small on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Small over 30 days. Invesco Small is related to or competes with USCF Gold, Invesco Real, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Invesco Municipal, Aim Investment, and Oppenheimer Rising. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of small capitalizatio... More

Invesco Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Small historical prices to predict the future Invesco Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3522.3023.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2720.2224.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2822.2323.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.2022.2922.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Small Cap.

Invesco Small Cap Backtested Returns

We consider Invesco Small very steady. Invesco Small Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Small Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.11, downside deviation of 1.06, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1233 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.52, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Invesco Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

Invesco Small Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Small time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Invesco Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Invesco Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Small mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Invesco Small in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Invesco Small's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Invesco Small options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Invesco Small Correlation, Invesco Small Volatility and Invesco Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Small.
Note that the Invesco Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Mutual Fund analysis

When running Invesco Small's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Small's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Small is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Small's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Small's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Small's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Small to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Invesco Small technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Invesco Small technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Invesco Small trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...