Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced Fund Market Value
| VTMFX Fund | USD 41.66 0.17 0.41% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Tax-managed 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Tax-managed.
| 06/28/2023 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Tax-managed on June 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Tax-managed over 300 days. Vanguard Tax-managed is related to or competes with Vanguard Materials, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Market, and Vanguard Market. The fund invests approximately 50 percent to 55 percent of its assets in municipal securities and the balance in common ... More
Vanguard Tax-managed Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3854 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5659 |
Vanguard Tax-managed Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Tax-managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Tax-managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Tax-managed historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Tax-managed's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0486 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0457 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Tax-managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Tax Managed Backtested Returns
We consider Vanguard Tax-managed very steady. Vanguard Tax Managed owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0511, which indicates the fund had a 0.0511% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Tax-managed's Coefficient Of Variation of 1128.01, semi deviation of 0.3006, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0486 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0203%. The entity has a beta of 0.54, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Tax-managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Tax-managed is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.71 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Tax-managed time series from 28th of June 2023 to 25th of November 2023 and 25th of November 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Tax Managed price movement. The serial correlation of -0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Vanguard Tax-managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.71 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.98 |
Vanguard Tax Managed lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Tax-managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Tax-managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Tax-managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Tax-managed Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Tax-managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Tax-managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Tax-managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Tax Managed Balanced.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vanguard Tax-managed in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vanguard Tax-managed's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vanguard Tax-managed options trading.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Vanguard Tax-managed Correlation, Vanguard Tax-managed Volatility and Vanguard Tax-managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Tax-managed. Note that the Vanguard Tax Managed information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard Tax-managed's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Vanguard Tax-managed technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.