Teton Westwood Equity Fund Market Value
WEQCX Fund | USD 9.93 0.04 0.40% |
Symbol | Teton |
Teton Westwood 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Teton Westwood's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Teton Westwood.
07/22/2023 |
| 04/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Teton Westwood on July 22, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Teton Westwood Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Teton Westwood over 270 days. Teton Westwood is related to or competes with Teton Westwood, Teton Westwood, The Gabelli, Teton Westwood, and The Gabelli. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks and securities which may be converted i... More
Teton Westwood Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Teton Westwood's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Teton Westwood Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.7578 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 3.33 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.22) | |||
Potential Upside | 0.8205 |
Teton Westwood Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Teton Westwood's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Teton Westwood's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Teton Westwood historical prices to predict the future Teton Westwood's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0408 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.0358 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teton Westwood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teton Westwood Equity Backtested Returns
We consider Teton Westwood very steady. Teton Westwood Equity owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0849, which indicates the fund had a 0.0849% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Teton Westwood Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Teton Westwood's Semi Deviation of 0.6173, coefficient of variation of 1517.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0408 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0504%. The entity has a beta of 0.81, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Teton Westwood's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Teton Westwood is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.65 |
Very good reverse predictability
Teton Westwood Equity has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Teton Westwood time series from 22nd of July 2023 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 17th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Teton Westwood Equity price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Teton Westwood price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.65 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.57 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.07 |
Teton Westwood Equity lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Teton Westwood mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Teton Westwood's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Teton Westwood returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Teton Westwood has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Teton Westwood regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Teton Westwood mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Teton Westwood mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Teton Westwood mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Teton Westwood Lagged Returns
When evaluating Teton Westwood's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Teton Westwood mutual fund have on its future price. Teton Westwood autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Teton Westwood autocorrelation shows the relationship between Teton Westwood mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Teton Westwood Equity.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Teton Westwood in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Teton Westwood's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Teton Westwood options trading.
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Check out Teton Westwood Correlation, Teton Westwood Volatility and Teton Westwood Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Teton Westwood. Note that the Teton Westwood Equity information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Teton Westwood's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Teton Westwood technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.