Ivy Science And Fund Market Value

WSTCX Fund  USD 26.57  0.57  2.10%   
Ivy Science's market value is the price at which a share of Ivy Science trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ivy Science And investors about its performance. Ivy Science is trading at 26.57 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -2.1 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 27.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ivy Science And and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ivy Science over a given investment horizon. Check out Ivy Science Correlation, Ivy Science Volatility and Ivy Science Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ivy Science.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ivy Science's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ivy Science is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ivy Science's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ivy Science 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ivy Science's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ivy Science.
0.00
04/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
04/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ivy Science on April 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ivy Science And or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ivy Science over 720 days. Ivy Science is related to or competes with Semiconductors Portfolio. The fund invests primarily in the equity securities of science and technology companies around the globe More

Ivy Science Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ivy Science's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ivy Science And upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ivy Science Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ivy Science's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ivy Science's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ivy Science historical prices to predict the future Ivy Science's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ivy Science's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1626.5727.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2426.6528.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.7526.1627.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.2226.7627.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ivy Science. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ivy Science's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ivy Science's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ivy Science And.

Ivy Science And Backtested Returns

We consider Ivy Science very steady. Ivy Science And holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0714, which attests that the entity had a 0.0714% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ivy Science And, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Ivy Science's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0722, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1169, and Downside Deviation of 1.42 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.1%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.31, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ivy Science will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

Ivy Science And has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ivy Science time series from 29th of April 2022 to 24th of April 2023 and 24th of April 2023 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ivy Science And price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Ivy Science price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.69

Ivy Science And lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ivy Science mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ivy Science's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ivy Science returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ivy Science has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ivy Science regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ivy Science mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ivy Science mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ivy Science mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ivy Science Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ivy Science's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ivy Science mutual fund have on its future price. Ivy Science autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ivy Science autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ivy Science mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ivy Science And.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ivy Science in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ivy Science's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ivy Science options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Ivy Science Correlation, Ivy Science Volatility and Ivy Science Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ivy Science.
Note that the Ivy Science And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ivy Science's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Ivy Science technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ivy Science technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ivy Science trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...