Xinyuan Real Backtesting

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd -- USA Stock  

USD 5.67  0.13  2.24%

With this equity back-testing module your can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xinyuan Real over given investment horizon. See also Xinyuan Real Hype Analysis, Xinyuan Real Correlation, Xinyuan Real Valuation, Xinyuan Real Volatility as well as analyze Xinyuan Real Alpha and Beta and Xinyuan Real Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
SymbolX
Backtest

Xinyuan Real 'What if' Analysis

September 17, 2017
 0.00 
No Change 0.00  0.0%
In 31 days
October 17, 2017
 0.00 
If you would invest  0.00  in Xinyuan Real on September 17, 2017 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xinyuan Real over 30 days. Xinyuan Real is related to or competes with ABM Industries, CBRE, Digital Realty, Extra Space, Jones Lang, and . It acquires development sites through public auctions of government land and direct negotiations

Xinyuan Real Upside/Downside Indicators

  

Xinyuan Real Market Premium Indicators

Xinyuan Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

 Current and Lagged Values 
      Timeline 

Xinyuan Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

 Current vs Lagged Prices 
      Timeline 

Xinyuan Real Estate Backtested Returns

Macroaxis considers Xinyuan Real to be moderately volatile. Xinyuan Real Estate shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.2604 which attests that Xinyuan Real Estate had -0.2604% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards determining risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Xinyuan Real Estate exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Xinyuan Real Estate Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0393, Mean Deviation of 1.55 and Downside Deviation of 2.35 to validate risk estimate we provide. Macroaxis gives Xinyuan Real performance score of 0 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains market beta of 3.3963 which attests that as market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Xinyuan Real will likely underperform.. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Xinyuan Real Estate historical price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price history. Macroaxis philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Xinyuan Real Estate exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate its performance. Xinyuan Real Estate has expected return of -0.3917%. Please be advised to check out Xinyuan Real Estate Value At Risk as well as the relationship between Skewness and Day Median Price to decide if Xinyuan Real Estate past performance will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Advice Volatility Trend Exposure Correlations
15 days auto-correlation(0.57) 

Good reverse predictability

Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xinyuan Real time series from September 17, 2017 to October 2, 2017 and October 2, 2017 to October 17, 2017. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xinyuan Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Xinyuan Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Xinyuan Real Estate Co Ltd has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Xinyuan Real for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient -0.57
Spearman Rank Test -0.24
Lagged Price Variance 0.05
Average Price 5.82

Xinyuan Real Lagged Returns

 Regressed Prices 
      Timeline 

Xinyuan Real Performance vs DOW

The median price of Xinyuan Real for the period between Sun, Sep 17, 2017 and Tue, Oct 17, 2017 is 5.81 with a coefficient of variation of 3.23. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 0.19, arithmetic mean of 5.88, and mean deviation of 0.15. The Stock received some media coverage during the period.
Price Growth (%)  
      Timeline 
1
Mechel PAO Reaches 4.98 After 4.00 percent Down Move Xinyuan...10/10/2017