Xinyuan Real Estate Stock Market Value

XIN Stock  USD 2.60  0.09  3.35%   
Xinyuan Real's market value is the price at which a share of Xinyuan Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xinyuan Real Estate investors about its performance. Xinyuan Real is selling at 2.60 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is -3.35 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xinyuan Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xinyuan Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Xinyuan Real Correlation, Xinyuan Real Volatility and Xinyuan Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xinyuan Real.
Symbol

Xinyuan Real Estate Price To Book Ratio

Is Xinyuan Real's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xinyuan Real. If investors know Xinyuan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xinyuan Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.927
Earnings Share
(52.52)
Revenue Per Share
176.174
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.909
Return On Assets
0.0006
The market value of Xinyuan Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xinyuan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xinyuan Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xinyuan Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xinyuan Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xinyuan Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xinyuan Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xinyuan Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xinyuan Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xinyuan Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xinyuan Real's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xinyuan Real.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xinyuan Real on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xinyuan Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xinyuan Real over 30 days. Xinyuan Real is related to or competes with AMREP, Alset Ehome, Landsea Homes, American Realty, and Sino Land. Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development and constr... More

Xinyuan Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xinyuan Real's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xinyuan Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xinyuan Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xinyuan Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xinyuan Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xinyuan Real historical prices to predict the future Xinyuan Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xinyuan Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.312.604.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.372.664.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.242.534.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xinyuan Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xinyuan Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xinyuan Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xinyuan Real Estate.

Xinyuan Real Estate Backtested Returns

Xinyuan Real Estate shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0201, which attests that the company had a -0.0201% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Xinyuan Real Estate exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Xinyuan Real's Downside Deviation of 2.52, mean deviation of 2.01, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4175 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.75, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Xinyuan Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xinyuan Real is expected to be smaller as well. Xinyuan Real Estate has an expected return of -0.0459%. Please make sure to check out Xinyuan Real Estate value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Xinyuan Real Estate performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.23  

Weak reverse predictability

Xinyuan Real Estate has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xinyuan Real time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xinyuan Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Xinyuan Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.23
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Xinyuan Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xinyuan Real stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xinyuan Real's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xinyuan Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xinyuan Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xinyuan Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xinyuan Real stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xinyuan Real stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xinyuan Real stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xinyuan Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xinyuan Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xinyuan Real stock have on its future price. Xinyuan Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xinyuan Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xinyuan Real stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xinyuan Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Xinyuan Real in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Xinyuan Real's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Xinyuan Real options trading.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Xinyuan Real Estate offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Xinyuan Real's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xinyuan Real Estate Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xinyuan Real Estate Stock:
Check out Xinyuan Real Correlation, Xinyuan Real Volatility and Xinyuan Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xinyuan Real.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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When running Xinyuan Real's price analysis, check to measure Xinyuan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinyuan Real is operating at the current time. Most of Xinyuan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinyuan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinyuan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinyuan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Xinyuan Real technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Xinyuan Real technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Xinyuan Real trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...