Deere Company Corporate Bonds and Leverage Analysis

DE Stock  USD 409.14  12.09  3.04%   
Deere Company holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.549. At present, Deere's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 30.1 B, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 29 B. Deere's financial risk is the risk to Deere stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt. In other words, with a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Deere's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Deere's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Deere Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Deere's stakeholders.
For most companies, including Deere, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for the executing running Deere Company the most critical issue when dealing with liquidity needs is whether the current assets are properly aligned with its current liabilities. If not, management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure that there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet in reserve to pay for obligations.
Price Book
5.0252
Book Value
79.304
Operating Margin
0.1851
Profit Margin
0.1639
Return On Assets
0.099
At present, Deere's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Debt is expected to grow to about 30.1 B, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 29 B.
  
Check out the analysis of Deere Fundamentals Over Time.

Deere Bond Ratings

Deere Company bond ratings play a critical role in determining how much Deere have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Deere's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
6  Healthy
Beneish M Score

Deere Company Debt to Cash Allocation

As Deere Company follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Deere's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors. Many companies eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
The company reports 63.41 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.55, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Deere Company has a current ratio of 1.94, which is generally considered normal. Debt can assist Deere until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Deere's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Deere Company sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Deere to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Deere's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Deere Total Assets Over Time

Deere Assets Financed by Debt

Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Deere's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Deere, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility. Like all other financial ratios, a a Deere debt ratio should be compared their industry average or other competing firms.

Deere Corporate Bonds Issued

Deere issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the most significant components of the U.S. bond market and are considered the world's largest securities market. Deere Company uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Deere bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Deere Company has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Deere Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

76.57 Billion

At present, Deere's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Understaning Deere Use of Financial Leverage

Deere financial leverage ratio helps in determining the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures Deere's total debt position, including all of outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Deere assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Deere debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business and if it is worth investing in it. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Deere's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Deere's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets).
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Short and Long Term Debt Total72.9 B76.6 B
Net Debt64.3 B67.6 B
Short Term Debt28.7 B30.1 B
Long Term Debt44.2 B22.3 B
Long Term Debt Total38.6 B29 B
Short and Long Term Debt28.7 B30.1 B
Long Term Debt To Capitalization 0.64  0.46 
Total Debt To Capitalization 0.72  0.56 
Debt Equity Ratio 2.63  2.26 
Debt Ratio 0.58  0.41 
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio 0.16  0.12 
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Deere Investors Sentiment

The influence of Deere's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Deere. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Deere's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Deere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Deere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Deere Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Deere's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Deere's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Deere's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Deere.

Deere Implied Volatility

    
  33.39  
Deere's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Deere Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Deere's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Deere stock will not fluctuate a lot when Deere's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Deere in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Deere's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Deere options trading.

Pair Trading with Deere

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Deere position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Deere will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Deere Stock

  0.7MNTX Manitex International Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 PairCorr

Moving against Deere Stock

  0.58REVG Rev Group Financial Report 13th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.45GENC Gencor IndustriesPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Deere could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Deere when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Deere - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Deere Company to buy it.
The correlation of Deere is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Deere moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Deere Company moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Deere can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Deere Company is a strong investment it is important to analyze Deere's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Deere's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Deere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out the analysis of Deere Fundamentals Over Time.
Note that the Deere Company information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Deere's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Deere's price analysis, check to measure Deere's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deere is operating at the current time. Most of Deere's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deere's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deere's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deere to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Deere's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deere. If investors know Deere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deere listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
5.32
Earnings Share
34.31
Revenue Per Share
211.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Deere Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deere's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deere's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deere's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deere's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deere's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deere is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deere's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.