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McDonalds Earnings Estimate

MCD Stock  USD 269.95  4.52  1.70%   
The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.55 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.62 to a high of 2.84. McDonalds' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 11.57. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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McDonalds is projected to generate 2.55 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2024. McDonalds earnings estimates module stress-tests analyst consensus about projected McDonalds EPS (Earning Per Share) to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on its historical volatility. Many public companies, such as McDonalds, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing McDonalds' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across McDonalds' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At present, McDonalds' Operating Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.35, whereas Gross Profit is forecasted to decline to about 8.7 B.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in McDonalds. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.

McDonalds Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of McDonalds' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of McDonalds is estimated to be 2.55 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.62 to a high of 2.84. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for McDonalds is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
2.95
2.62
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.55
2.84
Highest

McDonalds Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of McDonalds' value are higher than the current market price of the McDonalds stock. In this case, investors may conclude that McDonalds is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and McDonalds' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2024Current EPS (TTM)
3393.42%
2.95
2.55
11.57

McDonalds Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by McDonalds analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge McDonalds' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only McDonalds' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

McDonalds Quarterly Gross Profit

3.56 Billion

At present, McDonalds' Earnings Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.69, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is forecasted to decline to about 47 B. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 956 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 4.6 B.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
269.07270.15271.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
242.96288.16289.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
266.47267.55268.62
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
273.24300.26333.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as McDonalds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against McDonalds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, McDonalds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in McDonalds. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of McDonalds assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards McDonalds. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving McDonalds' stock price in the short term.

McDonalds Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of McDonalds refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering McDonalds predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of McDonalds, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

McDonalds Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as McDonalds, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of McDonalds should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

McDonalds Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact McDonalds' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-02-05
2023-12-312.822.950.13
2023-10-30
2023-09-3033.190.19
2023-07-27
2023-06-302.793.170.3813 
2023-04-25
2023-03-312.332.630.312 
2023-01-31
2022-12-312.452.590.14
2022-10-27
2022-09-302.582.680.1
2022-07-26
2022-06-302.472.550.08
2022-04-28
2022-03-312.172.280.11
2022-01-27
2021-12-312.342.23-0.11
2021-10-27
2021-09-302.462.760.312 
2021-07-28
2021-06-302.112.370.2612 
2021-04-29
2021-03-311.811.920.11
2021-01-28
2020-12-311.781.7-0.08
2020-11-09
2020-09-301.92.220.3216 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.740.66-0.0810 
2020-04-30
2020-03-311.571.47-0.1
2020-01-29
2019-12-311.961.970.01
2019-10-22
2019-09-302.212.11-0.1
2019-07-26
2019-06-302.052.050.0
2019-04-30
2019-03-311.751.780.03
2019-01-30
2018-12-311.891.970.08
2018-10-23
2018-09-301.992.10.11
2018-07-26
2018-06-301.921.990.07
2018-04-30
2018-03-311.671.790.12
2018-01-30
2017-12-311.591.710.12
2017-10-24
2017-09-301.771.76-0.01
2017-07-25
2017-06-301.621.730.11
2017-04-25
2017-03-311.331.470.1410 
2017-01-23
2016-12-311.411.430.02
2016-10-21
2016-09-301.481.620.14
2016-07-26
2016-06-301.381.450.07
2016-04-22
2016-03-311.161.230.07
2016-01-25
2015-12-311.231.310.08
2015-10-22
2015-09-301.271.40.1310 
2015-07-23
2015-06-301.231.290.06
2015-04-22
2015-03-311.061.01-0.05
2015-01-23
2014-12-311.221.13-0.09
2014-10-21
2014-09-301.371.36-0.01
2014-07-22
2014-06-301.441.4-0.04
2014-04-22
2014-03-311.241.21-0.03
2014-01-23
2013-12-311.391.40.01
2013-10-21
2013-09-301.511.520.01
2013-07-22
2013-06-301.41.38-0.02
2013-04-19
2013-03-311.271.26-0.01
2013-01-23
2012-12-311.331.380.05
2012-10-19
2012-09-301.471.43-0.04
2012-07-23
2012-06-301.371.32-0.05
2012-04-20
2012-03-311.231.230.0
2012-01-24
2011-12-311.31.330.03
2011-10-21
2011-09-301.431.450.02
2011-07-22
2011-06-301.281.350.07
2011-04-21
2011-03-311.141.150.01
2011-01-24
2010-12-311.161.160.0
2010-10-21
2010-09-301.251.290.04
2010-07-23
2010-06-301.121.130.01
2010-04-21
2010-03-310.961.030.07
2010-01-22
2009-12-311.021.030.01
2009-10-22
2009-09-301.111.150.04
2009-07-23
2009-06-300.970.970.0
2009-04-22
2009-03-310.820.830.01
2009-01-26
2008-12-310.830.870.04
2008-10-22
2008-09-300.981.050.07
2008-07-23
2008-06-300.860.940.08
2008-04-22
2008-03-310.70.810.1115 
2008-01-28
2007-12-310.710.730.02
2007-10-19
2007-09-300.830.830.0
2007-07-24
2007-06-300.710.710.0
2007-04-20
2007-03-310.620.620.0
2007-01-24
2006-12-310.610.610.0
2006-10-19
2006-09-300.680.680.0
2006-07-25
2006-06-300.620.670.05
2006-04-21
2006-03-310.490.490.0
2006-01-24
2005-12-310.480.480.0
2005-10-20
2005-09-300.580.580.0
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.420.420.0
2005-04-21
2005-03-310.430.560.1330 
2005-01-28
2004-12-310.460.45-0.01
2004-10-19
2004-09-300.610.610.0
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.470.470.0
2004-04-27
2004-03-310.40.40.0
2004-01-26
2003-12-310.350.350.0
2003-10-22
2003-09-300.40.430.03
2003-07-29
2003-06-300.370.370.0
2003-04-28
2003-03-310.280.290.01
2003-01-23
2002-12-310.250.250.0
2002-10-22
2002-09-300.390.38-0.01
2002-07-24
2002-06-300.380.390.01
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.290.310.02
2002-01-24
2001-12-310.340.340.0
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.390.420.03
2001-07-24
2001-06-300.340.340.0
2001-04-19
2001-03-310.30.29-0.01
2001-01-24
2000-12-310.350.34-0.01
2000-10-19
2000-09-300.410.410.0
2000-07-25
2000-06-300.40.39-0.01
2000-04-20
2000-03-310.320.330.01
2000-01-26
1999-12-310.360.35-0.01
1999-10-21
1999-09-300.390.390.0
1999-07-22
1999-06-300.370.370.0
1999-04-22
1999-03-310.290.30.01
1999-01-26
1998-12-310.320.320.0
1998-10-19
1998-09-300.340.350.01
1998-07-20
1998-06-300.330.330.0
1998-04-17
1998-03-310.260.260.0
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.30.29-0.01
1997-10-17
1997-09-300.330.32-0.01
1997-07-17
1997-06-300.320.320.0
1997-04-17
1997-03-310.250.250.0
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.290.30.01
1996-10-18
1996-09-300.320.31-0.01
1996-07-18
1996-06-300.290.30.01
1996-04-18
1996-03-310.220.220.0

About McDonalds Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of McDonalds earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current McDonalds estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as McDonalds fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings63.5 B66.7 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity68.5 B47 B
Earnings Yield 0.04  0.06 
Price Earnings Ratio 25.49  16.62 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.66  0.69 

McDonalds Investors Sentiment

The influence of McDonalds' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in McDonalds. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to McDonalds' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in McDonalds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding McDonalds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around McDonalds. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
McDonalds' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for McDonalds' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average McDonalds' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on McDonalds.

McDonalds Implied Volatility

    
  53.39  
McDonalds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of McDonalds stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if McDonalds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that McDonalds stock will not fluctuate a lot when McDonalds' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards McDonalds in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, McDonalds' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from McDonalds options trading.

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When determining whether McDonalds is a strong investment it is important to analyze McDonalds' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact McDonalds' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding McDonalds Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in McDonalds. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For information on how to trade McDonalds Stock refer to our How to Trade McDonalds Stock guide.
Note that the McDonalds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.083
Dividend Share
6.23
Earnings Share
11.57
Revenue Per Share
35.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if McDonalds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.