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Evermore risk analysis

 
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Evermore Chemical In

Stock@Taiwan Stock Exchange 
Taiwan Province Of China TWD
      
We consider Evermore not very risky. Evermore Chemical In secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.02 which denotes Evermore Chemical In had 0.02% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards predicting volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please make sure to check Evermore Chemical In Coefficient Of Variation of 5173.96, Mean Deviation of 0.8781 and Downside Deviation of 1.68 to check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.03%.
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Investment horizon: 
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Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Evermore has beta of 0.03 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Evermore avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd has alpha of 0.03 implying that it can potentially generate 0.03% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Evermore   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Evermore is 5173.96. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 2.06 and standard deviation of 1.43. The mean deviation of Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd is currently at 0.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd(alpha)= 0.03 
beta for Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd(beta) = 0.03 
volatility for Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd(volatility) = 1.43 

Actual Return Volatility

Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd accepts 1.43% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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June 14 2013
 12.65 
  
 12.12 
(0.53)  Macroaxis: -4.189723320158112 Down   4.19%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 22 2013
 12.85 
  
 12.80 
(0.05)  Macroaxis: -0.3891050583657505 Down   0.39%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd has a volatility of 1.43 and is 1.7 times more volatile than S&P 500. 17% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Evermore. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd is lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Evermore Chemical Industry Co Ltd to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences moderate upward volatility. As returns on market increase, Evermore returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Evermore will be expected to be smaller as well.

Evermore correlation with market

Significant diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Evermore Chemical Industry Co. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Evermore Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0204
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.6009
Mean Deviation0.8781
Semi-Deviation1.27
Downside Deviation1.68
Coefficient Of Variation5173.96
Standard Deviation1.43

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