Megawin Technology (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 3122 Stock | TWD 41.55 1.45 3.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Megawin Technology stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Megawin Technology shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Megawin Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Megawin Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Megawin Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Megawin Technology Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Megawin Technology based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Megawin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Megawin Technology over a specific investment horizon. Using Megawin Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Megawin Technology Co from the perspective of Megawin Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Megawin Technology. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Megawin Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Megawin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Megawin Technology after-hype prediction price | TWD 41.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Megawin |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Megawin Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Megawin Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Megawin Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Megawin Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Megawin Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Megawin Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Megawin Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Megawin Technology's historical news coverage. Megawin Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.90 and 44.20, respectively. We have considered Megawin Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Megawin Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Megawin Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Megawin Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Megawin Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Megawin Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Megawin Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.55 | 41.55 | 0.00 |
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Megawin Technology Hype Timeline
Megawin Technology is presently traded for 41.55on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Megawin is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Megawin Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.55. About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Megawin Technology was presently reported as 13.13. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Megawin Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Megawin Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Megawin Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Megawin Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Megawin Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Megawin Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 2330 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.23 | 4.60 | (2.18) | 11.85 | |
| 2317 | Hon Hai Precision | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.21 | 4.71 | (2.57) | 12.52 | |
| 2454 | MediaTek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.06 | 3.47 | (3.73) | 14.31 | |
| 2412 | Chunghwa Telecom Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.01) | 0.84 | (1.18) | 2.39 | |
| 6505 | Formosa Petrochemical Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.14 | (2.41) | 7.02 | |
| 2308 | Delta Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | (0.01) | 4.58 | (2.84) | 11.83 | |
| 2882 | Cathay Financial Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.06 | 1.95 | (1.42) | 5.45 | |
| 2303 | United Microelectronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.29 | (2.09) | 8.14 | |
| 1303 | Nan Ya Plastics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.99 | (2.75) | 5.67 | |
| 1301 | Formosa Plastics Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.56 | (2.17) | 4.90 |
Megawin Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Megawin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Megawin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Megawin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Megawin Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Megawin Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Megawin Technology Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Megawin Technology based on analysis of Megawin Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Megawin Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Megawin Technology's related companies. Story Coverage note for Megawin Technology
The number of cover stories for Megawin Technology depends on current market conditions and Megawin Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Megawin Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Megawin Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Megawin Technology Short Properties
Megawin Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Megawin Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Megawin Technology Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Megawin Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Megawin Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.3 M |
Check out Megawin Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Megawin Stock analysis
When running Megawin Technology's price analysis, check to measure Megawin Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Megawin Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Megawin Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Megawin Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Megawin Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Megawin Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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