First Hi (Taiwan) Price Prediction

5439 Stock  TWD 112.00  0.50  0.45%   
As of today, The value of RSI of First Hi's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Hi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
First Hi tec stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of First Hi shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of First Hi's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Hi and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Hi's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Hi tec Enterprise, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Hi based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The First stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Hi over a specific investment horizon. Using First Hi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Hi tec Enterprise from the perspective of First Hi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in First Hi. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Hi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Hi after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 112.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Hi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Hi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.1291.84123.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.51103.23105.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.23112.10115.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Hi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Hi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Hi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Hi tec.

First Hi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Hi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Hi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Hi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Hi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Hi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Hi's historical news coverage. First Hi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 109.28 and 114.72, respectively. We have considered First Hi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
112.00
109.28
Downside
112.00
After-hype Price
114.72
Upside
First Hi is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Hi tec is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Hi Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Hi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Hi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Hi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
2.72
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
112.00
112.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Hi Hype Timeline

First Hi tec is presently traded for 112.00on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Hi is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 112.00. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. First Hi tec last dividend was issued on the 19th of July 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 30th of July 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out First Hi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Hi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Hi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Hi's future price movements. Getting to know how First Hi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Hi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

First Hi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Hi Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Hi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Hi tec Enterprise, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Hi based on analysis of First Hi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Hi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Hi's related companies.

Story Coverage note for First Hi

The number of cover stories for First Hi depends on current market conditions and First Hi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Hi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Hi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

First Hi Short Properties

First Hi's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Hi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Hi tec Enterprise often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Hi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Hi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93 M
Short Long Term Debt150 M
Check out First Hi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Hi's price analysis, check to measure First Hi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Hi is operating at the current time. Most of First Hi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Hi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Hi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Hi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Hi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Hi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Hi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.