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Benchmark SP 500  1,652   12.77  Index Moved Up 0.78% United States ...


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China risk analysis

 
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China Petroleum Ch

Stock@Shanghai Stock Exchange 
China CNY
      
Macroaxis considers China not very volatile. China Petroleum Ch secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.49 which signifies that China Petroleum Ch had -0.49% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards foreseeing risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. China Petroleum Chemical Corporation exposes twenty-six different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm China Petroleum Ch Downside Deviation of 1.88, Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.41) and Mean Deviation of 0.8333 to double-check risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
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Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, China Petroleum Chemical Corporation has beta of -0.11 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding China are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, China Petroleum Chemical Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, China Petroleum Chemical Corporation has negative alpha implying that risk taken by holding this securing is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming S&P 500
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   China   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of China is -205.33. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 1.55 and standard deviation of 1.24. The mean deviation of China Petroleum Chemical Corporation is currently at 0.83. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for China Petroleum   Chemical Corporation(alpha)=(0.11)
beta for China Petroleum   Chemical Corporation(beta) =(0.11)
volatility for China Petroleum   Chemical Corporation(volatility) = 1.24 

Actual Return Volatility

China Petroleum Chemical Corporation accepts 1.24% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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June 14 2013
 7.66 
  
 6.11 
(1.55)  Macroaxis: -20.234986945169712 Down   20.23%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 20 2013
 6.79 
  
 6.91 
0.12  Macroaxis: 1.767304860088367 Up   1.77%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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China Petroleum Chemical Corporation has a volatility of 1.24 and is 1.48 times more volatile than S&P 500. 15% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than China. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of China Petroleum Chemical Corporation is lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use China Petroleum Chemical Corporation to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As returns on market increase, returns on owning China are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, China is likely to outperform the market.

China correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding China Petroleum & Chemical Cor and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

China Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.41)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance5.61
Mean Deviation0.8333
Semi-Deviation2.55
Downside Deviation1.88
Coefficient Of Variation(205.33)
Standard Deviation1.24

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