Agilent Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| A Stock | USD 134.22 0.33 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Agilent Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Agilent Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Agilent Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Agilent Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Agilent Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agilent Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Agilent Technologies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.5 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.08 | Wall Street Target Price 148.89 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.22 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Agilent Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Agilent stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Agilent Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using Agilent Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agilent Technologies from the perspective of Agilent Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agilent Technologies using Agilent Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agilent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agilent Technologies' stock price.
Agilent Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Agilent Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Agilent. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Agilent Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Agilent Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Agilent Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Agilent Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 126.1835 | Short Percent 0.0152 | Short Ratio 1.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 140.9502 |
Agilent Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agilent Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agilent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agilent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agilent Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agilent Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agilent Technologies.
Agilent Technologies Implied Volatility | 98.57 |
Agilent Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agilent Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agilent Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agilent Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agilent Technologies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Agilent Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agilent Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agilent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agilent Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 134.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agilent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agilent Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.16% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Agilent Technologies trading at USD 134.22, that is roughly USD 8.27 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agilent Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agilent Technologies options at the current volatility level of 98.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Agilent |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agilent Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agilent Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agilent Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agilent Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agilent Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agilent Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agilent Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agilent Technologies' historical news coverage. Agilent Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 133.08 and 136.02, respectively. We have considered Agilent Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agilent Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agilent Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agilent Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agilent Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilent Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agilent Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.47 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
134.22 | 134.55 | 0.00 |
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Agilent Technologies Hype Timeline
As of April 18, 2024 Agilent Technologies is listed for 134.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Agilent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agilent Technologies is about 83.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 134.13. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.7. Agilent Technologies last dividend was issued on the 1st of April 2024. The entity had 1398:1000 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Agilent Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agilent Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agilent Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agilent Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Agilent Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agilent Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DHR | Danaher | 0.94 | 13 per month | 1.05 | 0.04 | 2.27 | (1.66) | 7.45 | |
| IDXX | IDEXX Laboratories | (8.96) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.90 | (2.33) | 11.55 | |
| GH | Guardant Health | (0.35) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.82 | (7.29) | 22.73 | |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories | 1.36 | 12 per month | 1.62 | 0.04 | 2.87 | (2.57) | 15.05 |
Agilent Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agilent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agilent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agilent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agilent Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agilent Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agilent Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agilent Technologies based on analysis of Agilent Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agilent Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agilent Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006044 | 0.00872 | 0.01 | 0.009526 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.04 | 4.45 | 4.0 | 2.12 |
Story Coverage note for Agilent Technologies
The number of cover stories for Agilent Technologies depends on current market conditions and Agilent Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agilent Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agilent Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agilent Technologies Short Properties
Agilent Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Agilent Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agilent Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agilent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agilent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 296 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Agilent Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Agilent Stock refer to our How to Trade Agilent Stock guide.Note that the Agilent Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Agilent Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Agilent Stock analysis
When running Agilent Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Agilent Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilent Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Agilent Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilent Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilent Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilent Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agilent Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilent Technologies. If investors know Agilent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilent Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 0.911 | Earnings Share 4.08 | Revenue Per Share 22.967 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Agilent Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilent Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilent Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilent Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilent Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilent Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilent Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilent Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.