Alcoa Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Alcoa headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alcoa Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alcoa hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alcoa Corporation from the prospective of Alcoa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alcoa over a specific investment horizon. Check also Alcoa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alcoa estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
June 29, 2017
32.95
Current Value
Downside upside
32.95
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
39.49
Upside
Upside upside
Alcoa is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alcoa is based on 1 month time horizon.

Alcoa Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02% 2.18% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.9532.950.00%
0.00% 

Alcoa Hype Timeline

As of June 29, 2017 Alcoa Corporation is going for 32.95 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alcoa Corporation is suggested not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is suggested to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Alcoa is about 3737.14%%. The volatility of related hype on Alcoa is about 3737.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 32.95. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alcoa Corporation last dividend was issued on August 3, 2016. This company had 2:1 split on 2016-11-01. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also Alcoa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alcoa Related Hype Analysis