Altaba Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AABA -- USA Stock  

USD 63.01  0.78  1.25%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altaba which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Altaba hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Altaba from the prospective of Altaba response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Altaba over a specific investment horizon. Check also Altaba Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Altaba After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Altaba Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 11, 2018
63.01
Current Value
62.14
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
69.22
Upside
Altaba is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altaba is based on 2 months time horizon.

Altaba Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 2.43% 0.03%  0.01% 10 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
63.0162.140.14%
300.00% 

Altaba Hype Timeline

Altaba is presently traded for63.01. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Altaba is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 62.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 300.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Altaba is about 840.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 63.0. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Altaba recorded earning per share (EPS) of 28.21. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had a split on 2004-05-12. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check also Altaba Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Altaba Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
State Street Corporation 0.0028 3 per month 0.00  0.26  0.40 (0.44)  2.53 
T Rowe Price Group(2.24) 5 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.73 (4.04)  7.99 
KKR Co L P(0.15) 2 per month 0.21  0.52  0.61 (0.53)  1.87 
KKR Co L P 0.00 0 per month 0.09  0.64  0.57 (0.37)  1.66 
Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.19)  0.22 (2.58)  7.68 
Apollo Global Management LLC(0.48) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0081)  0.70 (1.70)  3.29 
China Cinda Asset Management Co Ltd 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  4.00 
3i Ord(0.99) 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.34 (4.89)  17.41 
Schroders plc 0.52 7 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.31 (4.49)  10.95 
SEI Investments Co 0.45 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.75 (3.78)  8.86 

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Check also Altaba Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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