American Airlines Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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Stock American Airlines Group
AAL -- USA Stock  

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We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Airlines Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Airlines Group from the prospective of American Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
26.86
December 14, 2019
27.48
After-hype Price
33.09
Upside
American Airlines is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Airlines Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00  1.87  0.00   0.00  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.8627.480.00 
389.58  
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American Airlines Hype Timeline

On the 14th of December 2019 American Airlines is traded for 26.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American Airlines Group is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 389.58%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Airlines is about 757.09%%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 757.09% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.86. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. American Airlines last dividend was issued on 2019-11-05. The entity had 0:1 split on 2013-12-09. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity		News
Density		Semi
Deviation		Information
Ratio		Potential
Upside		Value
At Risk		Maximum
Drawdown
Hawaiian Holdings 0.68 10 per month 2.05  0.0311  3.43 (2.47)  14.20 
American Airlines Group 0.48 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.13 (3.50)  8.55 
Alaska Air Group(0.06) 10 per month 1.08 (0.0058)  1.85 (2.08)  6.41 
Avianca Holdings S A(0.11) 8 per month 2.43  0.16  7.10 (4.39)  16.17 
China Eastern Airlines Corporat(0.18) 8 per month 2.34 (0.0084)  4.35 (3.16)  13.31 
Copa Holdings S A Copa Holdin 1.94 11 per month 1.59 (0.0032)  1.97 (2.39)  5.91 
Delta Air Lines(0.37) 10 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.71 (1.99)  5.62 
Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes 0.34 10 per month 3.14 (0.0011)  5.22 (6.09)  13.03 
LATAM Airlines Group S A 0.01 9 per month 1.93  0.07  3.09 (4.43)  37.09 
Southwest Airlines Company(0.26) 11 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.47 (1.60)  7.39 

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Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
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