American Airlines Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown |
| AAL -- USA Stock | USD 26.27 0.48 1.86% |
| Horizon | 30 Days Login to change |
American Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis
American Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
August 19, 2019
26.27
Current Value19.17 Downside | 25.77 After-hype PriceTarget Odds
| 32.37 Upside |
American Airlines is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines is based on 2 months time horizon.
American Airlines Next Price Analysis
| Daily Expected return | Period Volatility | Hype elasticity | Related hype elasticity | Average news density | Related news density | Next Expected Hype |
| 0.40% | 2.25% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
| 26.27 | 25.77 | 0.08% |
|
American Airlines Hype Timeline
On 19 of August American Airlines is traded for 26.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. American Airlines Group is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 25.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 5625.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 9782.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.26. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.33. American Airlines last dividend was issued on 2019-08-06. The entity had 0:1 split on 2013-12-09. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Airlines Related Hype Analysis
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | ||
| Gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes | 0.70 | 8 per month | 2.96 | 0.05 | 5.51 | (4.86) | 24.14 | |
| Hawaiian Holdings | 0.51 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.0321) | 3.95 | (4.67) | 13.22 | |
| Southwest Airlines Company | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.0473) | 1.95 | (2.32) | 6.01 | |
| Avianca Holdings S A | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.29 | 0.07 | 5.72 | (3.35) | 14.17 | |
| China Eastern Airlines Corporat | (0.33) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.66 | (5.35) | 14.72 | |
| Copa Holdings S A Copa Holdin | (0.80) | 6 per month | 1.62 | 0.1 | 3.74 | (2.15) | 16.36 | |
| Alaska Air Group | (0.87) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.0387) | 2.27 | (2.86) | 6.72 | |
| LATAM Airlines Group S A | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.0109) | 5.26 | (5.31) | 15.60 | |
| Delta Air Lines | 0.77 | 7 per month | 1.50 | 0.07 | 2.37 | (2.74) | 6.78 | |
| American Airlines Group | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.27 | (3.96) | 10.99 |
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Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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