American Airlines Price Prediction

American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 48.66  0.01  0.0206%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring American Airlines headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Airlines Group Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Airlines Group Inc from the prospective of American Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
November 23, 2017
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
American Airlines is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines Group is based on 1 month time horizon.

American Airlines Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27% 1.61% 0.02%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

American Airlines Hype Timeline

On 23 of November American Airlines Group Inc is traded for  48.66 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. American Airlines Group Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 48.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2012.5%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 4600.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.65. The company reported last year revenue of 41.11 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.06 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 30.3 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Hawaiian Holdings Inc 0.4 1 per month 2.23  0.0552 (2.02)  4.44 (3.22)  13.26 
American Airlines Group Inc 0.08 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.00  2.18 (2.21)  4.69 
Alaska Air Group Inc(0.66) 1 per month 0.00 (0.26)  0.00  2.22 (5.23)  13.1 
Delta Air Lines Inc(0.13) 1 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.00  1.77 (1.78)  3.52 
Southwest Airlines Co(0.2) 1 per month 0.00 (0.26)  0.00  1.43 (2.81)  3.57 
United Continental Holdings Inc 0.3 1 per month 0.00 (0.063)  0.00  2.07 (2.01)  4.39