American Airlines Valuation Overview

AAL -- USA Stock  

USD 40.33  0.34  0.85%

American Airlines Group shows prevailing Real Value of $50.16385 per share. The current price of the firm is $40.33. At this time the firm appears to be under valued. Macroaxis approximates value of American Airlines Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 3.40% and Return On Equity of 103.16% as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor to go long with undervalued instruments and to trade away overvalued instruments since at some point assets prices and their ongoing real values will blend.

These numbers represent the fourth quarter results and can be found on the 8-K SEC filing. Fourth quarter 2016 pre-tax profit was $500 million, or $773 million excluding net special charges. Also, total revenue per available seat mile was up 1.3 percent year-over-year, which is the first year this has happened since the fourth quarter of 2014. As a potential investor, the idea that consecutive growth is happening shows the company still has the ability to grow and maintain profitability.

Now, let us switch over to the chart and see if price is reacting in a health way. Taking a look at the monthly chart, you can see there is not a whole bunch of historical data, but from what we can tell is that price is in a range and appears to be going back to the downside. For a short position, this could be great, but we’re here for long term growth and want the company’s stock price to rise. Right now, I would wait for the price to catch some support and be sure to watch the latest numbers because that will influence price direction.

Valuation Drivers Correlation
Click cells to compare fundamentals   View All Correlations
American Airlines Group Valuation Data Drivers
Net Income Per Employee    Enterprise Value    Market Capitalization    
American Airlines Market Cap
American Airlines Group is rated below average in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Airlines industry is presently estimated at about 677.83 Billion. American Airlines holds roughly 17.4 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 2.57% of stocks in Airlines industry.
Capitalization  Workforce  Total debt  Valuation  Revenue
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
American Airlines Group is rated fifth in price to book category among related companies. It is rated below average in last dividend paid category among related companies creating about  0.08  of Last Dividend Paid per Price to Book. The ratio of Price to Book to Last Dividend Paid for American Airlines Group is roughly  13.00 

Current Market Valuation

American Airlines Group Valuation Boundaries
Under Valued
August 21, 2018
40.33
Market Value
50.16
Real Value
Target Odds
  
56.55
Upside
American Airlines is not too volatile asset. Calculation of real value of American Airlines Group is based on 1 month time horizon. Increasing American Airlines Group time horizon generally increases accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves predictive power of the methodology used.

Valuation Indicators

American Airlines Valuation Fundamental Ratios
Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.