Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAPL -- USA Stock  

USD 171.32  0.90  0.53%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 19, 2019
171.32
Current Value
0.00
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
0.00
Upside
Apple is Unknown risk asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 2 months time horizon.

Apple Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38% 3.04% 0.63%  0.25% 4 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
171.320.000.00%
183.13% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple is presently traded for171.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.63 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Apple is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 183.13%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.38%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Apple is about 454.59%%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 454.59% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 171.57. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Apple recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.12. The entity last dividend was issued on Februaryruary 8, 2019. The firm had 7:1 split on 2014-06-09. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check also Trending Equities.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Fabrinet 1.83 9 per month 3.18  0.0382  5.11 (4.95)  18.44 
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company 0.39 6 per month 1.41  0.19  5.43 (3.65)  11.18 
LG Display Co Ltd(0.01) 8 per month 2.05  0.12  3.05 (3.70)  10.13 
Emerson Radio Corp(0.02) 6 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.76 (3.99)  9.26 
GoPro 0.01 9 per month 2.09  0.11  4.02 (2.77)  9.44 
The Guitammer Company(0.00002) 6 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.50 (12.28)  33.33 
iRobot Corporation 3.50 9 per month 2.30  0.14  7.76 (5.17)  13.02 
Kyocera Corp 0.97 4 per month 0.65  0.13  3.49 (1.84)  7.53 
Eastman Kodak Company(0.06) 9 per month 3.83  0.0236  8.43 (7.09)  24.05 
Koss Corporation 0.08 9 per month 3.68 (0.0011)  5.77 (6.06)  25.64 

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