Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#000000;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 35px;;'>AAP</div>
AAPL -- USA Stock  

 Earnings Call  This Week

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Please continue to Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
  Expected price to next headline 

Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
January 26, 2020
After-hype Price
Apple is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 3 months time horizon.

Apple Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.39  1.08  0.11   0.04  11 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple is presently traded for319.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 319.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 385.71%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.03% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 973.76% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 319.19. The company reported previous year revenue of 260.17 B. Net Income was 55.26 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 98.39 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Please continue to Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C(0.17) 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.69 (3.41)  8.38 
LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEP(0.05) 2 per month 2.29 (0.0079)  4.82 (3.25)  15.40 
Emerson Radio Corporation(0.0191) 7 per month 3.87  0.0033  6.00 (7.36)  15.75 
Mohawk Group Holdings(0.46) 6 per month 8.15  0.0052  13.15 (12.09)  50.33 
GoPro(0.08) 9 per month 2.80  0.0496  3.86 (4.88)  15.21 
Guitammer CO 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.10  10.87  0.00  86.27 
Turtle Beach Corporation 0.18 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.99 (4.56)  29.83 
IRobot Corporation(0.06) 10 per month 2.90 (0.0171)  4.61 (3.95)  11.22 
KYOCERA CORP(0.44) 8 per month 1.15 (0.0106)  1.55 (1.86)  6.28 
Koss Corporation(0.01) 8 per month 0.00 (0.1)  5.26 (5.56)  20.77 
Please continue to Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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