Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAPL -- USA Stock  

USD 185.69  3.05  1.62%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Apple headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 19, 2018
185.69
Current Value
Downside
183.42
185.70
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
187.98
Upside
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 0.76% 0.01%  0.03% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
185.69185.700.01%
310.20% 

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple is presently traded for185.69. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 185.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 310.2%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.01% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 162.22% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 185.66. The company reported previous year revenue of 247.42 B. Net Income was 53.32 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.19 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HP 0.33 6 per month 0.78  0.19  2.99 (1.62)  5.66 
Apple 0.25 5 per month 0.00 (0.017)  0.84 (1.03)  2.83 
Broadridge Financial Solutions(0.86) 7 per month 0.84  0.06  1.75 (1.49)  3.49 
CA(0.15) 4 per month 0.00  0.41  0.94 (0.62)  1.73 
Facebook(2.57) 6 per month 0.27  0.35  2.19 (0.83)  3.84 
Gartner 2.11 7 per month 0.46  0.13  1.60 (0.70)  2.79 
NQ Mobile 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
21Vianet Group 0.42 4 per month 0.00  0.40  5.75 (1.53)  11.81 
VeriSign 0.74 7 per month 0.00  0.63  1.73 (0.42)  2.15 
Workday(4.95) 6 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.37 (3.62)  5.32 

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Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.