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AFRICA risk analysis

 
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AFRICA RESIDENCES

Stock@Tel Aviv Stock Exchange 
Israel ILS
      
AFRICA is unusually risky given 1 month investment horizon. AFRICA RESIDENCES secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.29 which signifies that AFRICA RESIDENCES had 0.29% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards foreseeing volatility of a stock is to use AFRICA RESIDENCES market data together with company specific technical indicators. We found twenty-eight different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 820.18% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use AFRICA Mean Deviation of 1503.26 and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2535 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away.
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Investment horizon: 
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Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 95.0 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, AFRICA will likely underperform. In addition to that, AFRICA RESIDENCES has alpha of 95.0 implying that it can potentially generate 95.0% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   AFRICA   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of AFRICA is 346.32. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 8067998.45 and standard deviation of 2840.42. The mean deviation of AFRICA RESIDENCES is currently at 1503.26. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for AFRICA RESIDENCES(alpha)= 95.00 
beta for AFRICA RESIDENCES(beta) = 95.00 
volatility for AFRICA RESIDENCES(volatility) = 2,840 

Actual Return Volatility

AFRICA RESIDENCES accepts 2840.42% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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May 27 2013
 49.78 
  
 49.78 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
June 10 2013
 4,985 
  
 5,092 
107.00  Macroaxis: 2.1464393179538614 Up   2.15%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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AFRICA RESIDENCES has a volatility of 2840.42 and is 3381.45 times more volatile than S&P 500. 96% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than AFRICA. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of AFRICA RESIDENCES is higher than 96 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use AFRICA RESIDENCES to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences large bullish trend. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AFRICA will likely underperform.

AFRICA correlation with market

Significant diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AFRICA RESIDENCES and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

AFRICA Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.2535
Market Risk Adjusted Performance8.64
Mean Deviation1503.26
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation346.32
Standard Deviation2840.42

Suggested Divercification Pairs

Berkshire Hathaway Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES
Citigroup Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES
Franklin Resources Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES
Google Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES
DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES
Netflix Inc vs. AFRICA RESIDENCES

 
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