Apollo Senior Floating Fund Volatility

AFT Fund  USD 14.27  0.06  0.42%   
We consider Apollo Senior very steady. Apollo Senior Floating secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that the fund had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Apollo Senior Floating, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Apollo Senior's Mean Deviation of 0.4556, risk adjusted performance of 0.1331, and Downside Deviation of 0.6115 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Key indicators related to Apollo Senior's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
180 Days Economic Sensitivity
Apollo Senior Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Apollo daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Apollo's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Apollo Senior volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Apollo Senior can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Apollo Senior at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Apollo stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Apollo Senior's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Apollo Fund

  0.82LETRX Voya Russia FundPairCorr
  0.82IWRFX Voya Russia FundPairCorr
  0.82IIRFX Voya Russia FundPairCorr
  0.72CISGX Touchstone Sands CapitalPairCorr

Moving against Apollo Fund

  0.5UBPIX Ultralatin America Steady GrowthPairCorr

Apollo Senior Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Apollo Senior's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Apollo fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Apollo fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Apollo Senior's beta of 0.22 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Apollo Senior fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Apollo Senior Floating exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of 0.87. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Apollo Senior's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Apollo Senior's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Apollo Senior Floating Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Apollo Senior correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Apollo Beta

    
  0.22  
Apollo standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.62  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Apollo Senior's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Apollo Senior's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in apollo fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Apollo Senior.

Apollo Senior Floating Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Apollo Senior fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Apollo Senior's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Apollo Senior's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Apollo Senior's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Apollo Senior's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Apollo Senior's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Apollo Senior's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Apollo Senior's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Apollo Senior Floating Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Apollo Senior Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Apollo Senior has a beta of 0.2186 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apollo Senior average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apollo Senior Floating will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Apollo Senior or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Apollo Senior's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Apollo fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Apollo Senior Floating has an alpha of 0.1011, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Apollo Senior's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how apollo fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Apollo Senior Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Apollo Senior Fund Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Apollo Senior is 524.2. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.38 and standard deviation of 0.62. The mean deviation of Apollo Senior Floating is currently at 0.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.10
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Apollo Senior Fund Return Volatility

Apollo Senior historical daily return volatility represents how much of Apollo Senior fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund has volatility of 0.6183% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6321% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Apollo Senior Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Apollo Senior or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Apollo Senior may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Apollo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Apollo Senior and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Apollo Senior fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Apollo Senior Floating Rate Fund Inc. is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Apollo Credit Management, LLC. Apollo Senior Floating Rate Fund Inc. was formed on February 23, 2011 and is domiciled in United States. Apollo Senior is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States.
Apollo Senior's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Apollo Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Apollo Senior's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Apollo Senior's volatility to invest better

Higher Apollo Senior's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Apollo Senior Floating fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Apollo Senior Floating fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Apollo Senior Floating investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Apollo Senior's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Apollo Senior's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Apollo Senior Investment Opportunity

NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.63 and is 1.02 times more volatile than Apollo Senior Floating. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Apollo Senior. You can use Apollo Senior Floating to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Apollo Senior to be traded at $14.13 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Apollo Senior Floating and NYA is 0.22 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Apollo Senior Floating and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Apollo Senior Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apollo Senior's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Senior's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Apollo Senior fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Apollo Senior Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Apollo Senior as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Apollo Senior's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Apollo Senior's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Apollo Senior Floating.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Apollo Senior Floating. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the Apollo Senior Floating information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Apollo Senior's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.